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Airbrush last won the day on May 26
Airbrush had the most liked content!
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SoCal
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Surfing, Artwork, Science
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CSULA BA Art (1979) & BS Accounting (1989)
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It's similar to calling a supermassive black hole a star, as in "Sagittarius A Star." Anyone with a brain would say "Sagittarius A ASTERISK" for "Sagittarius A*," so people don't confuse the printed asterisk for a star.
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We know that the Earth is protected by a magnetic field that channels dangerous solar wind to the poles, causing the Aurora Borealis. But what about the magnetic poles where this solar wind is impacting the Earth? Is it dangerous for people or animals to spend an extended period of time at the poles, because of the channeled radiation? I asked ChatGPT this question, and here is the answer. Is ChatGPT wrong? "The Earth's magnetic field does channel the solar wind — a stream of charged particles emitted by the Sun — toward the polar regions, leading to phenomena like the auroras (Aurora Borealis and Aurora Australis). However, this does not make life at the poles significantly more dangerous due to the following reasons: Atmospheric Protection: Even at the poles, the Earth's atmosphere provides substantial protection against solar and cosmic radiation. The charged particles lose energy as they interact with the upper atmosphere, causing the stunning light displays of the auroras, but these interactions occur high above the surface. Magnetic Field Deflection: While the magnetic field funnels charged particles toward the poles, it still deflects much of the solar wind away from Earth entirely. Only a small fraction of particles penetrate far enough to interact with the upper atmosphere. Limited Surface Penetration: The solar wind particles interacting with the atmosphere rarely reach the surface of the Earth. Life at the poles is not directly exposed to harmful levels of solar radiation due to these interactions. Natural Shielding: The magnetic field's ability to channel and diffuse the solar wind minimizes its concentration at ground level, even at the poles. Most harmful effects of the solar wind, like high radiation levels, are mitigated well before reaching the Earth's surface. Comparison to Space: The dangers posed by the solar wind are far greater in space or on celestial bodies without a significant atmosphere or magnetic field, such as the Moon or Mars. The poles are challenging environments for life primarily due to extreme cold, high winds, and seasonal darkness, not because of increased solar wind danger. However, astronauts and high-altitude pilots in polar regions might experience slightly increased radiation exposure during solar storms, but this is a rare and temporary risk."
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When you examine Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys, the keys were correct, and Allan simply interpreted them slightly off. I agree with Allan’s analysis of the first 4 keys, but for short-term and long-term economy, those were perceived as FALSE by the public because of massive disinformation. I agree with Allan on keys 7, 8, and 9, but I disagree on 10 and 11. Allan believed that Biden got the benefit of uniting countries against Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, but the public did not perceive that. I agree with Allan on key 12, but I differ on key 13, because although you cannot call Trump “charismatic” he gets partial credit for having cult leader popularity, like rarely seen, except for truly charismatic candidates. So, when I count the keys that fall against the Whitehouse party, I get 6 and a half strikes against the Whitehouse party. Which indicates a Trump victory. Here is how I analyze the 13 keys. (1) Biden loses the 2 economy keys, (2) loses another Foreign/Military success key, and (3) gets half credit for challenger being “semi-charismatic.” Here is my analysis: 1 Party Mandate – FALSE 2 No Primary Contest – TRUE 3 Incumbent seeking re-election – FALSE 4 No Third Party – TRUE 5 Strong Short-Term Economy – FALSE (PERCEIVED AS FALSE BECAUSE OF MASSIVE DISINFORMATION 6 Strong Long-Term Economy – FALSE (PERCEIVED AS FALSE BECAUSE OF MASSIVE DISINFORMATION 7 Major Policy Changes – TRUE 8 No Social Unrest – TRUE 9 No Scandal – TRUE 10 No Foreign or Military Failure – FALSE (PERCEIVED AS FALSE) 11 Major Foreign or Military Success – FALSE (PERCEIVED AS FALSE) 12 Charismatic Incumbent – FALSE 13 Uncharismatic Challenger – PARTIALLY FALSE BECAUSE TRUMP WITH HIS CULT FOLLOWING GETS PARTIAL CREDIT FOR CHARISMA
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Higher prices because of new trade wars and tariffs. Higher prices due to deportations of working illegals from agriculture, construction, domestic, services, etc. Trump would not deport very many, undocumented, but he would make a big show of it. Magnifying and exaggerating it. More borrowing (than the $7.8trillion he borrowed in 4 years) because of a wealth-weighted tax cut, so wealthy people at the top save even more.
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"In a cutting-edge development, that has sent shockwaves through the scientific community, researchers at University College London (UCL) have unveiled a radical theory that seeks to reconcile two pillars of modern physics – quantum mechanics and Einstein's general theory of relativity." Most of this is beyond me, but does anyone think this is a "cutting-edge development"? https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/technology/revolutionary-new-theory-finally-unites-quantum-mechanics-and-einstein-s-theory-of-general-relativity/ar-AA1sKLme?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=U531&cvid=8f705b996d7b40b5b2e77ece1cfecc61&ei=35#
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Thanks for the advice. After a few days, ChatGPT is now allowing me to ask questions again. It is FREE, and I can ask it any question that has a generally accepted answer. Which version of AI do you consult with? How much does it charge you? How much does it charge?
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Here is my question about polling. When pollsters call a phone number in households that are dominated by a male, does the subservient woman, who can also vote, in the house hand the phone to the man, because the man is in charge, so HE can answer the poll? The woman may be for Harris, but would not tell her husband that, out of fear, and plans to vote secretly for Harris, but she promises her domineering husband that she voted for Trump? Many of us thought Hillary Clinton was going to win, based on the polls, and were shocked that she didn't win.
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I love Neil and have seen many episodes of "Startalk." Have you seen any of those? I also thought his Cosmos series was FANTASTIC and I was also a big fan of Carl Sagan's series.
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After I discovered ChatGPT, I asked it a lot of questions, maybe 100, and it was interesting to see the answers, often in great detail, and most of it seems true. It's not perfect but can answer any simple question that has a generally accepted answer. Recently, ChatGPT stopped answering my questions. I know it cost to have unlimited access. I had a limit to how many questions I could ask in one day. But now days have gone by and ChatGPT continues to ignore me. Anyone know about ChatGPT?
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Allan Lichtman still predicts a Harris victory. He is the only one who can describe a rational, fact-based, scientific method of predicting the US presidential election. He was correct in 9 of the last 10 elections.
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Galaxies are much bigger than we thought, study reveals
Airbrush replied to DanMP's topic in Astronomy and Cosmology
I know you don't generally accept answers from ChatGPT, but how about this? I also asked ChatGPT what was the source of this information? "The estimated mass of the Milky Way’s CGM is roughly 10 billion to 100 billion solar masses (M☉). This estimate includes both ionized and neutral gas, as well as metals, which are heavier elements expelled from stars. A significant portion of the mass is in the form of hot, ionized gas that extends several hundred thousand light-years from the galaxy's center. The source of this information comes primarily from observations using the Hubble Space Telescope (HST), specifically from the Cosmic Origins Spectrograph (COS), and X-ray telescopes like Chandra and XMM-Newton. These instruments allow astronomers to detect the presence of highly ionized gas in the CGM, by observing the absorption lines of elements like oxygen (O VI) in the spectra of background quasars and other bright objects. The mass estimates can vary due to uncertainties in modeling the distribution, temperature, and density of the gas, but the consensus places the CGM’s mass in this broad range. A 2020 study by the Hubble COS Halos program refined these estimates, indicating that the CGM could account for a significant fraction of the baryonic matter "missing" from earlier galaxy models." Does this help? Do you ever consult with AI? -
Galaxies are much bigger than we thought, study reveals
Airbrush replied to DanMP's topic in Astronomy and Cosmology
Yes, that's the one! CGM "The Milky Way's CGM is a massive, extended halo of gas with a total mass of about 10 to 60 billion solar masses and extends up to 200,000 to 300,000 light-years from the galactic center." "The mass of stars in the Milky Way is roughly 60 billion to 100 billion solar masses. This includes all the stars in the Milky Way's disk, bulge, and stellar halo." "The Milky Way contains a significant amount of gas (both in the disk and in the circumgalactic medium), but this only contributes around 10 billion solar masses." These quotes I found are not consistent with "70% of the mass of a galaxy" is CGM. The Milky Way has far less mass in its' CGM, even less than the mass of the stars in our galaxy. -
Galaxies are much bigger than we thought, study reveals
Airbrush replied to DanMP's topic in Astronomy and Cosmology
It's amazing and that is interesting because I never heard that 70% of matter that is not dark matter, is the CMG. That is all new to me. Why is the CMG never mentioned in discussions about dark matter? Neil de Grasse Tyson never mentioned it? It says that the CMG extends out 300,000 LY for a galaxy the size of the Milky Way. I guess 300,000 is a radial distance, compared to the edge of the Milky Way out to a radius of only about 50,000 LY? The CMG extends out 6 times as far and is 70% of the mass of the galaxy! -
Suppose he had a 50% probability in one year. For 9 years: 50% to the power of 9 = A very tiny probability his model is random.