Airbrush

We know that the Earth is protected by a magnetic field that channels dangerous solar wind to the poles, causing the Aurora Borealis. But what about the magnetic poles where this solar wind is impacting the Earth? Is it dangerous for people or animals to spend an extended period of time at the poles, because of the channeled radiation? I asked ChatGPT this question, and here is the answer. Is ChatGPT wrong? "The Earth's magnetic field does channel the solar wind — a stream of charged particles emitted by the Sun — toward the polar regions, leading to phenomena like the auroras (Aurora Borealis and Aurora Australis). However, this does not make life at the poles significantly more dangerous due to the following reasons: Atmospheric Protection: Even at the poles, the Earth's atmosphere provides substantial protection against solar and cosmic radiation. The charged particles lose energy as they interact with the upper atmosphere, causing the stunning light displays of the auroras, but these interactions occur high above the surface. Magnetic Field Deflection: While the magnetic field funnels charged particles toward the poles, it still deflects much of the solar wind away from Earth entirely. Only a small fraction of particles penetrate far enough to interact with the upper atmosphere. Limited Surface Penetration: The solar wind particles interacting with the atmosphere rarely reach the surface of the Earth. Life at the poles is not directly exposed to harmful levels of solar radiation due to these interactions. Natural Shielding: The magnetic field's ability to channel and diffuse the solar wind minimizes its concentration at ground level, even at the poles. Most harmful effects of the solar wind, like high radiation levels, are mitigated well before reaching the Earth's surface. Comparison to Space: The dangers posed by the solar wind are far greater in space or on celestial bodies without a significant atmosphere or magnetic field, such as the Moon or Mars. The poles are challenging environments for life primarily due to extreme cold, high winds, and seasonal darkness, not because of increased solar wind danger. However, astronauts and high-altitude pilots in polar regions might experience slightly increased radiation exposure during solar storms, but this is a rare and temporary risk."

When you examine Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys, the keys were correct, and Allan simply interpreted them slightly off. I agree with Allan’s analysis of the first 4 keys, but for short-term and long-term economy, those were perceived as FALSE by the public because of massive disinformation. I agree with Allan on keys 7, 8, and 9, but I disagree on 10 and 11. Allan believed that Biden got the benefit of uniting countries against Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, but the public did not perceive that. I agree with Allan on key 12, but I differ on key 13, because although you cannot call Trump “charismatic” he gets partial credit for having cult leader popularity, like rarely seen, except for truly charismatic candidates. So, when I count the keys that fall against the Whitehouse party, I get 6 and a half strikes against the Whitehouse party. Which indicates a Trump victory. Here is how I analyze the 13 keys. (1) Biden loses the 2 economy keys, (2) loses another Foreign/Military success key, and (3) gets half credit for challenger being “semi-charismatic.” Here is my analysis: 1 Party Mandate – FALSE 2 No Primary Contest – TRUE 3 Incumbent seeking re-election – FALSE 4 No Third Party – TRUE 5 Strong Short-Term Economy – FALSE (PERCEIVED AS FALSE BECAUSE OF MASSIVE DISINFORMATION 6 Strong Long-Term Economy – FALSE (PERCEIVED AS FALSE BECAUSE OF MASSIVE DISINFORMATION 7 Major Policy Changes – TRUE 8 No Social Unrest – TRUE 9 No Scandal – TRUE 10 No Foreign or Military Failure – FALSE (PERCEIVED AS FALSE) 11 Major Foreign or Military Success – FALSE (PERCEIVED AS FALSE) 12 Charismatic Incumbent – FALSE 13 Uncharismatic Challenger – PARTIALLY FALSE BECAUSE TRUMP WITH HIS CULT FOLLOWING GETS PARTIAL CREDIT FOR CHARISMA

Higher prices because of new trade wars and tariffs. Higher prices due to deportations of working illegals from agriculture, construction, domestic, services, etc. Trump would not deport very many, undocumented, but he would make a big show of it. Magnifying and exaggerating it. More borrowing (than the $7.8trillion he borrowed in 4 years) because of a wealth-weighted tax cut, so wealthy people at the top save even more.

Trump seems to be descending rapidly into dementia and madness. Most likely he gets removed within a year or two and JD Vance becomes president, who pardons Trump of all crimes. Hopefully Europe will get together and support Ukraine when Trump cuts off aid to Ukraine.

"In a cutting-edge development, that has sent shockwaves through the scientific community, researchers at University College London (UCL) have unveiled a radical theory that seeks to reconcile two pillars of modern physics – quantum mechanics and Einstein's general theory of relativity." Most of this is beyond me, but does anyone think this is a "cutting-edge development"? https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/technology/revolutionary-new-theory-finally-unites-quantum-mechanics-and-einstein-s-theory-of-general-relativity/ar-AA1sKLme?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=U531&cvid=8f705b996d7b40b5b2e77ece1cfecc61&ei=35#

Thanks for the advice. After a few days, ChatGPT is now allowing me to ask questions again. It is FREE, and I can ask it any question that has a generally accepted answer. Which version of AI do you consult with? How much does it charge you? How much does it charge?

Here is my question about polling. When pollsters call a phone number in households that are dominated by a male, does the subservient woman, who can also vote, in the house hand the phone to the man, because the man is in charge, so HE can answer the poll? The woman may be for Harris, but would not tell her husband that, out of fear, and plans to vote secretly for Harris, but she promises her domineering husband that she voted for Trump? Many of us thought Hillary Clinton was going to win, based on the polls, and were shocked that she didn't win.

I love Neil and have seen many episodes of "Startalk." Have you seen any of those? I also thought his Cosmos series was FANTASTIC and I was also a big fan of Carl Sagan's series.

After I discovered ChatGPT, I asked it a lot of questions, maybe 100, and it was interesting to see the answers, often in great detail, and most of it seems true. It's not perfect but can answer any simple question that has a generally accepted answer. Recently, ChatGPT stopped answering my questions. I know it cost to have unlimited access. I had a limit to how many questions I could ask in one day. But now days have gone by and ChatGPT continues to ignore me. Anyone know about ChatGPT?

Allan Lichtman still predicts a Harris victory. He is the only one who can describe a rational, fact-based, scientific method of predicting the US presidential election. He was correct in 9 of the last 10 elections.

I know you don't generally accept answers from ChatGPT, but how about this? I also asked ChatGPT what was the source of this information? "The estimated mass of the Milky Way’s CGM is roughly 10 billion to 100 billion solar masses (M☉). This estimate includes both ionized and neutral gas, as well as metals, which are heavier elements expelled from stars. A significant portion of the mass is in the form of hot, ionized gas that extends several hundred thousand light-years from the galaxy's center. The source of this information comes primarily from observations using the Hubble Space Telescope (HST), specifically from the Cosmic Origins Spectrograph (COS), and X-ray telescopes like Chandra and XMM-Newton. These instruments allow astronomers to detect the presence of highly ionized gas in the CGM, by observing the absorption lines of elements like oxygen (O VI) in the spectra of background quasars and other bright objects. The mass estimates can vary due to uncertainties in modeling the distribution, temperature, and density of the gas, but the consensus places the CGM’s mass in this broad range. A 2020 study by the Hubble COS Halos program refined these estimates, indicating that the CGM could account for a significant fraction of the baryonic matter "missing" from earlier galaxy models." Does this help? Do you ever consult with AI?

Yes, that's the one! CGM "The Milky Way's CGM is a massive, extended halo of gas with a total mass of about 10 to 60 billion solar masses and extends up to 200,000 to 300,000 light-years from the galactic center." "The mass of stars in the Milky Way is roughly 60 billion to 100 billion solar masses. This includes all the stars in the Milky Way's disk, bulge, and stellar halo." "The Milky Way contains a significant amount of gas (both in the disk and in the circumgalactic medium), but this only contributes around 10 billion solar masses." These quotes I found are not consistent with "70% of the mass of a galaxy" is CGM. The Milky Way has far less mass in its' CGM, even less than the mass of the stars in our galaxy.

It's amazing and that is interesting because I never heard that 70% of matter that is not dark matter, is the CMG. That is all new to me. Why is the CMG never mentioned in discussions about dark matter? Neil de Grasse Tyson never mentioned it? It says that the CMG extends out 300,000 LY for a galaxy the size of the Milky Way. I guess 300,000 is a radial distance, compared to the edge of the Milky Way out to a radius of only about 50,000 LY? The CMG extends out 6 times as far and is 70% of the mass of the galaxy!

Suppose he had a 50% probability in one year. For 9 years: 50% to the power of 9 = A very tiny probability his model is random.

Could you quote that from his published paper of Oct 2016? I can't find it. What octopus did you mention? I searched above and could not find it. Is there an octopus that correctly predicted 9 of the last 10 elections? No octopus lives 40 years. They live between 1 year and up to 5 years in captivity. You have not studied the model enough to know registrations do not matter. Lichtman never mentions that. I can tell you have not studied it. Anyhow, last night Lichtman pulled the trigger, before the debate, and said Harris would win. Let's see if he was wrong. He reminds me of the character Hari Seldon in the Isaac Asimov's "Foundation" series of scifi stories "The premise of the stories is that in the waning days of a future Galactic Empire, the mathematician Hari Seldon devises the theory of psychohistory, a new and effective mathematics of sociology. Using statistical laws of mass action, it can predict the future of large populations." Foundation (book series) - Wikipedia Now it looks like the Dems may lose the Senate because John Tester's polls don't look good. Allen Lichtman has addressed your concerns and believes his model is not yet outdated.

Lichtman is firm that he did NOT predict the 2016 election on popular vote. He predicted it by his 13 Keys. His only mistake in predicting elections was 2000, when he predicted Gore would win. So, he correctly predicted 9 of the last 10 elections. 90% seems like a robust model. Voting registration is not a Key. That is why I lumped it under "Major Policy Changes" because it seems to me that young people registering in great numbers would do so based on their perception of Trump policies VS Biden policies, and they fear what may happen under Trump. His final prediction comes this week, earliest by today, and by Sunday at the latest. We will revisit this after the election!

You are correct, but that is not the point. In 2000, the electoral college diverged from the popular vote for the first time. "As a national system, the 13 Keys predict the popular vote, not the state-by-state tally of Electoral College votes. However, only once in the last 125 years has the Electoral College vote diverged from the popular vote. That was in the disputed election of 2000, when Bush defeated Al Gore. Despite narrowly losing the popular vote, Bush won in the Electoral College by holding a 537-vote margin over Gore in Florida when the Supreme Court halted the recounting of ballots." Biden won the key "Major Policy Changes" as did Harris. You know that policies differ between Dems and GOP....MAJORLY. That is an easy Key for the Dems to win. So I don't understand your point.

I think the surge in voter registration would fall under Key #7 - Major Policy Changes. You see YOUTHS registering to vote because of their concern about "Major policy changes" (ban abortion, defund Ukraine, corp tax cuts, daily clown shows, etc, under TFG) which is a key in FAVOR of Harris winning the election. Lichtman has complained about a false entry in Wikipedia that he hasn't been able to remove, that makes it look like he did not predict the 2016 election, but he did predict a Trump victory. In the interview he said NOTHING about the popular vote. He also predicted that Trump would be impeached. Trump sent Lichtman a thank you note for predicting his win in 2016. He also predicted Gore won 2000, and Gore did win the popular vote by 540,000 votes, but the demographic changed at that time, so popular vote differed from the electoral college. At this moment Lichtman believes a lot would have to go wrong for Harris, for Harris to lose. Another key fell when Harris replaced Biden, and they lost the Incumbency Key. One more key would need to fall for Harris to lose. His final prediction will be next week! Here is his most recent post:

Lichtman has correctly predicted the results of ten consecutive elections, from 1984 to 2020. The 2020 election was special because Gore won the popular vote, but the election was decided by SCOTUS, electing Bush. In 2016 Lichtman switched from predicting popular vote to the electoral college vote. "Using the system, Lichtman has correctly predicted the popular vote outcomes of each presidential election from 1984 to 2012. Though Lichtman claims he called the 2016 election correctly based on the 13 keys, his 2016 book and paper stated that the keys only referred to the popular vote, which Donald Trump lost.[4][5][6][7] He switched to just predicting the winner across all publications after the 2016 election, stating recent demographics changes give Democrats an advantage in the popular vote in close elections, and correctly called the outcome of the 2020 election.[8][9] "Lichtman argues that the checklist's content and its track record of reliability prove that American voters select the next president according to how well the country was governed in the preceding four years and that election campaigns have little, if any, meaningful effect on American voters. If American voters are satisfied with the governance of the country, they will re-elect the president or elect their party's nominee, but if they are dissatisfied, they will transfer the presidency to the challenging party." The Keys to the White House - Wikipedia

"Eternal inflation" suggests that our universe is just one of many "bubble universes" that form in an ever-expanding multiverse. These bubbles can be thought of as branching off from the inflating space-time of a previous universe, leading to a potentially infinite number of universes within the multiverse. The multiverse is the entire collection of these bubble universes. The multiverse could contain universes with different physical laws, different dimensions, and varying properties." Have you seen those Youtube animations showing bubble universes branching off from a previous universe? It seems like bubbles have centers and edges. When you get to the edge of one of these bubbles, your most powerful telescopes won't see any galaxies beyond the edge, because that region is still inflating out of range and is well beyond your visual horizon.

Here is the last update of the 13 Keys. It is borderline now, Dems are down by 5. IF Dems lose one more key, they lose. Final prediction by Lichtman is a week away! What key could fall?

Good question. Anyone know this? My guess is: what you would see depends on what is further from you, the observable edge of the bubble OR the actual edge of the bubble.

With eternal inflation, cosmic inflation continues indefinitely in some regions, creating a "multiverse" of bubble universes. In this framework, each "bubble" universe could have its own center and edges, but the entire multiverse doesn’t have a center or edges.

Trump is a Bible salesman and should try reading his favorite book. Seven deadly sins - Wikipedia "The seven deadly sins are: pride, greed, wrath, envy, lust, gluttony, and sloth. These sins are considered deadly because they are believed to lead to other sins and immoral behavior." PRIDE: Pride is considered the original and most serious of the seven deadly sins. It represents an excessive belief in one's own abilities, superiority, and worth, often leading to contempt and disrespect for others. Pride is viewed as the sin from which all others arise. [does this sound like Biden, Harris, Obama, Clinton, Putin, Kim Jong Un, or somebody else?] "In today's context, pride can manifest as arrogance, vanity, and an inflated sense of self-importance. It may lead individuals to overlook their faults, refuse constructive criticism, and prioritize their desires over the well-being of others. However, it's important to distinguish unhealthy pride from self-respect and confidence, which are considered positive traits." [WHO does this sound like? Biden?] GREED: Greed involves an excessive and selfish desire for wealth, power, or material possessions beyond what is needed. It is marked by a pursuit of gain at the expense of others. In the modern world, greed is evident in consumerism, corporate exploitation, and unethical practices aimed at accumulating wealth and resources. It can lead to economic disparities and social injustices. Engaging in corrupt business practices for personal gain. Hoarding resources without regard for others' needs. Pursuing wealth relentlessly while neglecting other aspects of life. WRATH: Wrath refers to uncontrolled feelings of anger, rage, and hatred. It can manifest as a desire for vengeance and can lead to violence, aggression, and self-destructive behavior. [The way he went after Rosie O'Donnell in 2006 showed this. Trump said "I am your retribution!" Trump is a man of hatred, often assuming other people hate as easily as he does, for petty reasons.] ENVY: Envy involves desiring what others have, whether it be possessions, status, abilities, or relationships. It is characterized by feelings of resentment and dissatisfaction caused by another's success or advantages [Obama, Biden, Harris]. LUST: Lust is an intense and uncontrolled desire, usually of a sexual nature. It focuses on self-gratification and often disregards the well-being and consent of others. GLUTTONY: Gluttony is the overindulgence and overconsumption of food, drink, or wealth items to the point of waste. It represents a lack of self-control and moderation. SLOTH: Sloth is characterized by laziness, idleness, and a reluctance to act or make decisions. It represents a failure to utilize one's talents and fulfill duties and responsibilities [as Trump did during the Covid pandemic making it worse than it had to be. Also, Trump famously complained after entering office that he had thought being president would be EASIER than being CEO of a private company! Trump complained that Obama played so much golf (306 times in 8 years), when Trump played golf 298 times in FOUR years, twice as often as Obama did.] Seven deadly sins - Wikipedia I think I have made a case for Trump being the "man of sin" as described in 2 Thessalonians 2 KJV. In other versions it is called the "man of lawlessness" which can be validated by the many legal cases Trump has acquired in his lifetime.

That is interesting, especially the suggestion of restarting the Mars dynamo and generate a magnetic field. That sounds very difficult. How does anyone restart the Mars dynamo? That sounds as difficult as terraforming Mars. In the Scifi movie "The Core" they restart Earth's dynamo using a series of nuclear explosions.