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J.C.MacSwell

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Posts posted by J.C.MacSwell

  1. Didn't want to start a thread for this but wanted to post this video, it's somewhat on topic, and no one else has replied to the original post.

    +1 to the OP.

  2. I think they have that in Russia. Putin feels he is the only one that meets your criteria, has only used violence to protect the innocent, and has compassionately added an extra election where most get to vote as long as the vast majority vote for him, just to allow everyone to feel good about the system.

  3.   On 11/16/2024 at 2:21 AM, TheVat said:

    This morning I saw a video of a man who voted for Trump because he wanted to kill Obamacare but now he is angry because he is unemployed and realized the ACA he depends on for his healthcare is Obamacare.

     

    I never thought leopards would eat MY face, sobs woman who voted for the Leopards Eating Peoples Faces Party.

    Expand  

    In her defence, she thought it was other peoples faces that were going to be eaten...

    ...and now I notice the MY in capitals...

  4.   On 11/20/2024 at 1:08 AM, swansont said:

    President Kennedy doesn’t agree

    “The characteristics of these new missile sites indicate two distinct types of installations. Several of them include medium range ballistic missiles, capable of carrying a nuclear warhead for a distance of more than 1,000 nautical miles.

    This urgent transformation of Cuba into an important strategic base -- by the presence of these large, long-range, and clearly offensive weapons of sudden mass destruction -- constitutes an explicit threat to the peace and security of all Americas“

    http://wp.stu.ca/wp-content/uploads/sites/4/2015/08/Kennedy-Speech-Cuban-Missile-Crisis.pdf

     

    The Soviets agreed to remove the missiles. Can’t remove something that isn’t there.

    Recon photos showing the missiles and also them being loaded onto ships for removal in November

    https://nsarchive2.gwu.edu/nsa/cuba_mis_cri/photos.htm

     

    1. November 5, 1962: Low-level photography documents loading of Soviet missiles at the main Mariel port facility for return to the USSR.  On the dock are vehicles later identified by NPIC as nuclear warhead vans.
    Expand  

    Thanks. just saw this now. I thought it was just the sites constructed and the missiles on their way turned mid Atlantic.

  5.   On 11/16/2024 at 2:07 AM, TheVat said:

    Kennedy is so annoying in his uneven levels of rationality - used to do valuable environmental law stuff, and has some good ideas about Big Ag, ultraprocessed food,  etc.  There was a time I could admire his spirit. Then he goes off on some WiFi causes cancer rant, or whatever the crackpot du jour is, and needs to be returned to the padded room.  It's really sad.  

     

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    Everything now is one extreme or the other. Harris's campaign toward the middle has been rejected. America wants concrete answers sans details. The last thing they want is to be forced to think.

  6.   On 11/6/2024 at 3:29 PM, CharonY said:

    Europe needs to step up, which they likely won't.  Especialy with pro-Russian right wingers waiting.  Also above I forgot to rant about sexism. We are a bunch of dum dums.

    That was what we discussed a few times. I feel that appealing to moderates has not been a great strategy. And she might even lose the popular vote. The way folks perceive and feel about things has changed and what we perceive as the norm is gone.

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    I'm not sure after every vote is counted she will have lost the popular vote but it hardly matters.

    She ran a decent campaign, Trump ran his worst and least honest so far, and this is the result.

    Not sure what to think never mind say.

  7.   On 11/4/2024 at 10:45 PM, TheVat said:

    You might find this look at the Stop the Steal groups, as they've spread over the web and entrenched for the 2024 election, useful in determining what sort of Harris victory would suffice to get them to pack up and go home.  (paywall free version, courtesy of my WaPo subscription)

    https://wapo.st/48z6QUZ

    As long as our social media are lax about misinformation rules, there will be mass circulation of "election fraud" videos like the one detailed in this article.  Musk, in particular, seems to be fully committed to running X as a propaganda arm of the MAGAists and the Far Right generally.  

    One ray of light, as @toucana mentioned, is that former Trump stalwart Nick Fuentes has turned against the grand cheetoh and denounced MAGA as a cult.  

    Expand  

    Thanks. I tried it but they want my email...

    Assuming the non battleground States go as expected that leaves the Harris with 226, 44 short of 270

    And Trump 219, 51 short

    So there are 3 possible results leaving a tie at 269 with Harris getting 43 and Trump 50:

    Harris: Arizona (11) Georgia (16) and North Carolina (16)

    leaving Trump: Michigan (15) Nevada (6) Pennsylvania (19) Wisconsin (10)

    or 

    Harris: Arizona (11) Georgia (16) Nevada (6) and Wisconsin (10)

    leaving Trump: Michigan (15) North Carolina (16) and Pennsylvania (19)

    Or

    Harris: Arizona (11) North Carolina (16) Nevada (6) and Wisconsin (10)

    leaving Trump: Michigan (15) Georgia (16) and Pennsylvania (19)

    What happens in the case of a tie?

    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/electoral-college-tie-2024-election-what-happens-rcna175477

     

  8.   On 11/4/2024 at 5:41 PM, swansont said:

    From a Michigan pollsterThat now has Harris leading

    https://mirs-uploads.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/5931-MI STATEWIDE MITCHELL POLL -FIELD COPY - EXEC SUMMARY - CROSSTABS OF MI 106PM 11-3-24.pdf

    “Before polling began, we looked at what we thought would be the likely turnout in 2024. Every poll we conducted --- including this one --- was weighted exactly the same. We weighted party affiliation, gender, age, race, area, and education. It seems clear now that we are under sampling women, African Americans, and the City of Detroit based on absentee ballot returns and early voting.”

    Expand  

    Am I putting that together correctly...Every poll "including this one" that now has Harris leading? So probably leading by significantly more?

    I get a sense the Democrat pollsters want to be, ironically, conservative while the GOP pollsters are trying to be optimistic...partly to motivate the base and partly to set the narrative to try to steal the election (something they are already accusing the Dems of)

    Maybe just wishful thinking but I would like to think this time the Dems win convincingly enough that Trump, or at least his potential henchmen, realize the games over.

  9. I tend to check 538 and find the Democrats holding or very slightly declining, despite hearing more descriptions of Democrats building early leads...probably the way I'm sampling or what I'm clicking but if in fact it's due to GOP putting their finger on the polls should 538 not be adjusting for that?

    I predicted Harris would win, almost comfortably, if she ran in a certain way and not only has she done that...but Trump seems to be getting in his own way. I would expect Harris would have a lead nationally of about 4% (and probably need at least 2) but 538 has her lead dwindled to 1.1 after building to over 3 a couple months back.

     

    I hope you Americans on this site have already voted but show up tomorrow with a least 3 decent minded friends that might not have voted otherwise...(I do realize I'm preaching to the choir)

  10.   On 11/4/2024 at 1:17 AM, swansont said:

    Who should have children? People who want them, and make the decision to do so.

    It’s really not anybody else's business whether someone decides to have children or not.

    Expand  

    Sure. Speak for the West...it's certainly Putin's business in Russia (and eventually other recovered territories):

    https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-battling-birth-rate-dip-is-working-child-free-ideology-ban-says-putin-2024-09-24/

  11.   On 11/3/2024 at 7:59 PM, swansont said:

    I seem to recall having this discussion before (though it may have been SCOTUS rather than VP). Can you say with certainty that the statement of intent happened before the choice/shortlist was determined?

     

     

    Expand  

    We (not sure if you were included) definitely discussed this here. Just over four years ago but I am absolutely sure. I said at the time Biden should have simply made his choice as the best available pick. Being black, and being female, could have factored in to that, politics being what it is. But he didn't do that. He virtue signalled in not a good way IMO.

    That's on him, not Harris. I'm sure she was happy she was chosen but would have preferred to be chosen as the best available candidate, not the best available black female.

    Correct me if I'm wrong but choosing a DEI candidate doesn't mean you won't get the best candidate, it just means you've excluded other candidates that might have been a better choice.

    For my part, I didn't like the pick at the time, nothing to do with the fact she was black or female, but like it now...also nothing to do with the fact she's black or female. 

  12.   On 11/3/2024 at 5:11 PM, Phi for All said:

    GOP Rep. Tim Burchett of Tennessee calls Harris a "DEI vice president", implying she is dumb and relies on her gender and ethnicity to get ahead, despite an absolutely brilliant career in law and politics. Rep. Harriet Hageman of Wyoming described Harris as "intellectually, just really kind of the bottom of the barrel", despite the evidence to the contrary. Rep. Glenn Grothman of Wisconsin claims "Democrats feel they have to stick with her because of her ethnic background", once again signalling racist judgments. Former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy described Harris as "totally stupid and dumb", again ignoring her success in both law and politics and targeting her as the GOP version of a typical woman.

    Seriously, I'm ashamed for you that you could even ask this question. It's like you have your head... in the sand.

    Expand  

    Unfortunately that's on Biden. He literally announced that he intended to choose a black female as running mate. She's more than qualified to run your country as POTUS, certainly far more than Biden or Trump, but she was in fact a DEI choice for VP as a running mate.

    Not that Burchett should get a pass for firing the gun Biden loaded, but that's politics today.

    Of course many in the GOP say far worse and have absolutely no excuse.

  13.   On 11/3/2024 at 11:52 AM, dimreepr said:

    What about a constitutional democracy prevents a pure democracy?

    Having said that, I don't think the American constitution could work as a pure democracy bc it could easily devolve into city States... 

    Indeed, but a pure democracy would be a better system...

    Expand  

    What I meant by a pure democracy, unlimited by a constitution (or equivalent), would describe a situation where a majority could run roughshod, even enslave, a minority simply by voting to do so.

    I don't think that would be a better system.

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