J.C.MacSwell
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Posts posted by J.C.MacSwell
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C'mon folks, it will be "best ever" by any reasonable measure. Maybe not by any explicitly defined measure (that would tend toward scientific, or at least integrity, and who wants that?), but certainly by any reasonable one. He's already done more in a week than Biden managed in 4 years, if JD Vance is to be believed, and I see no reasonable reason to doubt him.
And of course the avian flew, what else are birds expected to do?
Reminds me Trump hasn't threatened the Canary Islands yet, but there's always next week.
(Do it Trump...you know you want to...send Barron...it will be fun for him)
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5 hours ago, Peterkin said:
Whoever has the political power. Right now, the guy with the power is paying off the various factions that brought him to power. Which means he's insulting or damaging adjacent factions. Every gesture he makes to please militant bigots pisses off Christians whose values are more akin to those of the biblical Jesus.
Since the decent, reasonable Christians outnumber the militant bigots, pretty soon he'll begin to worry about the backlash and repudiate his former extremist allies. Then 'Christian values' in the US will change again.
More likely they'll start to realize he's not really on their side though, How many voted for him thinking he shared their values? (not suggesting I know)
I mean how many actually believed "their eating the dogs!"
I thought he had lost it, both the election and possibly his mind at that point...but no...
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I'm just so relieved that I can wake up tomorrow knowing Putin's Great Unpatriotic War against Ukraine will be over...or maybe it will take the full 24 hours...but we know we can count on Trump to keep his promises. Now off to put all my investments in his shitcoins...because what could possibly go wrong?
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I think they have that in Russia. Putin feels he is the only one that meets your criteria, has only used violence to protect the innocent, and has compassionately added an extra election where most get to vote as long as the vast majority vote for him, just to allow everyone to feel good about the system.
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On 11/15/2024 at 10:21 PM, TheVat said:
This morning I saw a video of a man who voted for Trump because he wanted to kill Obamacare but now he is angry because he is unemployed and realized the ACA he depends on for his healthcare is Obamacare.
I never thought leopards would eat MY face, sobs woman who voted for the Leopards Eating Peoples Faces Party.
In her defence, she thought it was other peoples faces that were going to be eaten...
...and now I notice the MY in capitals...
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On 11/19/2024 at 9:08 PM, swansont said:
President Kennedy doesn’t agree
“The characteristics of these new missile sites indicate two distinct types of installations. Several of them include medium range ballistic missiles, capable of carrying a nuclear warhead for a distance of more than 1,000 nautical miles.
…
This urgent transformation of Cuba into an important strategic base -- by the presence of these large, long-range, and clearly offensive weapons of sudden mass destruction -- constitutes an explicit threat to the peace and security of all Americas“
http://wp.stu.ca/wp-content/uploads/sites/4/2015/08/Kennedy-Speech-Cuban-Missile-Crisis.pdf
The Soviets agreed to remove the missiles. Can’t remove something that isn’t there.
Recon photos showing the missiles and also them being loaded onto ships for removal in November
https://nsarchive2.gwu.edu/nsa/cuba_mis_cri/photos.htm
Thanks. just saw this now. I thought it was just the sites constructed and the missiles on their way turned mid Atlantic.
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On 11/15/2024 at 10:07 PM, TheVat said:
Kennedy is so annoying in his uneven levels of rationality - used to do valuable environmental law stuff, and has some good ideas about Big Ag, ultraprocessed food, etc. There was a time I could admire his spirit. Then he goes off on some WiFi causes cancer rant, or whatever the crackpot du jour is, and needs to be returned to the padded room. It's really sad.
Everything now is one extreme or the other. Harris's campaign toward the middle has been rejected. America wants concrete answers sans details. The last thing they want is to be forced to think.
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3 hours ago, CharonY said:
Europe needs to step up, which they likely won't. Especialy with pro-Russian right wingers waiting. Also above I forgot to rant about sexism. We are a bunch of dum dums.
That was what we discussed a few times. I feel that appealing to moderates has not been a great strategy. And she might even lose the popular vote. The way folks perceive and feel about things has changed and what we perceive as the norm is gone.
I'm not sure after every vote is counted she will have lost the popular vote but it hardly matters.
She ran a decent campaign, Trump ran his worst and least honest so far, and this is the result.
Not sure what to think never mind say.
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Edited by J.C.MacSwell
55 minutes ago, TheVat said:You might find this look at the Stop the Steal groups, as they've spread over the web and entrenched for the 2024 election, useful in determining what sort of Harris victory would suffice to get them to pack up and go home. (paywall free version, courtesy of my WaPo subscription)
As long as our social media are lax about misinformation rules, there will be mass circulation of "election fraud" videos like the one detailed in this article. Musk, in particular, seems to be fully committed to running X as a propaganda arm of the MAGAists and the Far Right generally.
One ray of light, as @toucana mentioned, is that former Trump stalwart Nick Fuentes has turned against the grand cheetoh and denounced MAGA as a cult.
Thanks. I tried it but they want my email...
Assuming the non battleground States go as expected that leaves the Harris with 226, 44 short of 270
And Trump 219, 51 short
So there are 3 possible results leaving a tie at 269 with Harris getting 43 and Trump 50:
Harris: Arizona (11) Georgia (16) and North Carolina (16)
leaving Trump: Michigan (15) Nevada (6) Pennsylvania (19) Wisconsin (10)
or
Harris: Arizona (11) Georgia (16) Nevada (6) and Wisconsin (10)
leaving Trump: Michigan (15) North Carolina (16) and Pennsylvania (19)
Or
Harris: Arizona (11) North Carolina (16) Nevada (6) and Wisconsin (10)
leaving Trump: Michigan (15) Georgia (16) and Pennsylvania (19)
What happens in the case of a tie?
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4 hours ago, swansont said:
From a Michigan pollsterThat now has Harris leading
“Before polling began, we looked at what we thought would be the likely turnout in 2024. Every poll we conducted --- including this one --- was weighted exactly the same. We weighted party affiliation, gender, age, race, area, and education. It seems clear now that we are under sampling women, African Americans, and the City of Detroit based on absentee ballot returns and early voting.”
Am I putting that together correctly...Every poll "including this one" that now has Harris leading? So probably leading by significantly more?
I get a sense the Democrat pollsters want to be, ironically, conservative while the GOP pollsters are trying to be optimistic...partly to motivate the base and partly to set the narrative to try to steal the election (something they are already accusing the Dems of)
Maybe just wishful thinking but I would like to think this time the Dems win convincingly enough that Trump, or at least his potential henchmen, realize the games over.
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I tend to check 538 and find the Democrats holding or very slightly declining, despite hearing more descriptions of Democrats building early leads...probably the way I'm sampling or what I'm clicking but if in fact it's due to GOP putting their finger on the polls should 538 not be adjusting for that?
I predicted Harris would win, almost comfortably, if she ran in a certain way and not only has she done that...but Trump seems to be getting in his own way. I would expect Harris would have a lead nationally of about 4% (and probably need at least 2) but 538 has her lead dwindled to 1.1 after building to over 3 a couple months back.
I hope you Americans on this site have already voted but show up tomorrow with a least 3 decent minded friends that might not have voted otherwise...(I do realize I'm preaching to the choir)
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15 hours ago, swansont said:
Who should have children? People who want them, and make the decision to do so.
It’s really not anybody else's business whether someone decides to have children or not.Sure. Speak for the West...it's certainly Putin's business in Russia (and eventually other recovered territories):
Trump administration is crippling science.
in Politics
The Canaries might not be able to sustain them (The Canaries were actually named after dogs...but even if a just a small portion of the 50,000 were actual illegal aliens they'd have the canine population there devoured within a week!)
Not saying the new administration wouldn't find merit in your plan.