The total energy of the Universe is always conserved, so if somethings changes then there will be a change in other thing to counter act that change. Think it as Eddy currents as there is a change in magnetic flux, there is a induction of voltage and current in the opposite direction so as to counter act that change. So, our here our brain is a function of protean. As the condition changes, to counter act that change our brain will choose two options, either to adapt(which is learned helpness) or to counter act that change by doing something. So the overconfidence in some is just the end result of those two options. And as the Prof. Schrodinger says "at microscopic scale, two or more things can exist at the sametime.", so thats just the end result, nothing much.