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Everything posted by Alex_Krycek
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Even as a liberal I was impressed by Steve Bannon's speech recently at the Oxford Union (published November 16th, 2018). He clearly has a formidable analytical mind and a deep and comprehensive knowledge of history, economics, and geopolitics. Really interesting to listen to and ponder. This was Trump's lynchpin, the man who won him the election. The man who we were all told is a racist monster, and yet he clearly seems to be looking at the world through an objective, logical lens. If you saw the talk, what were your thoughts on it?
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What if it is? Would you see that as fodder for exogenesis?
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Trump just lost his base in middle America after the whole Putin fiasco. Middle aged white men without a college degree have turned on him for appearing weak in front of Russia. The tariff situation is just exacerbating matters. He's done. Someone call him a cab back to Trump Tower.
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some kind of aquatic, bipedal organism with venomous spines that glow in the dark would be interesting. barring that, I'll settle for a few colonies of extremophile bacteria.
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Not sure if this article has been shared yet. https://www.theguardian.com/science/2018/jul/25/huge-underground-lake-discovered-on-mars-say-astronomers
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If you're looking for long term, conservative investing with low risk, and you live in the United States, you should seriously consider index investing. Google "Mr. Money Mustache" for more details. Yes, I know, his name sounds goofy. But the guy wrote a pretty solid book and retired in his mid 30s based on his strategies of long term, low risk investing. The key isn't wild, speculative venture capitalism, but rather simple mathematics and something called "compounding". Compounding is the process in which an asset's earnings, from either capital gains or interest, are reinvested to generate additional earnings over time. But keep in mind that this approach requires you to have a steady income that you can consistently invest in your chosen index. Anyway, check it out.
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I had the displeasure of debating a Trump supporter about this today. They gave Donny a complete free pass, dismissing it as "fake news". "The liberal media this, the liberal media that." Jeesh... I think the core reason is Trump supporters prefer to feel rather than think, they prefer emotion over logic. Trump today: “Let me be totally clear in saying that … I accept our intelligence community’s conclusion,” Trump said, reading from a prepared script. He then added: “It could be other people also. There’s a lot of people out there.” That ranks right up there with: "It's surrounded by water: Big Water."
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We'll have to to leave it up to the states and local communities. A one size fits all solution might not be appropriate. Some rural areas trust their teachers with guns more than the police, who take a long time to arrive. Other areas might have a more robust police force that can respond quicker. But most school shooters are armed to the teeth, packing explosives, assault rifles, body armor, etc. You would need a teacher trained Counter Assault Team to effectively deal with most school shooters. (Which is why the resource officer at Parkland probably stayed outside) One pitfall I can see is that teachers might begin to fear their students as police fear civilians, and escalate situations where they feel compelled to use a firearm. This is what police generally do in the US. A conflict occurs, and rather than de-escalate the situation, the police escalate it until deadly force becomes the only logical option in their mind. If teacher's enter this same fight or flight mindset and they're armed, then schools will more unsafe.
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What do you mean - when customers don't pay you, setting up contracts effectively, etc? Thanks. SowWhen you started your business, how long did it take you to be "successful", to reach your goals? 6 months, 1 year, 5 years? Did you ever fail and go bankrupt, and then try again?
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In your mind what was the number one thing that contributed to your success?
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Ok. What kind of business did you start? What were the main challenges that you faced?
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I am looking for advice from anyone who has started their own business. I work a day job right now but I'm thinking of quitting and pursuing my own ideas for making money. I have a detailed plan that I've been refining for some time. Have you ever started your own business? What was your experience? Were you a success or failure? Were you glad you did it or did you regret it? What were the main challenges that you faced?
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If it limits an individual's potential then I would argue that it is a negative thing. For example, if a person is forced to be a janitor because they never had the chance to pursue their education because of financial reasons, and they have the ability to become a great scientist, engineer, teacher, inventor, etc then that is a societal ill.
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What are you listening to right now?
Alex_Krycek replied to heathenwilliamduke's topic in The Lounge
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Access to Educational Opportunities Willingness to Pursue those Opportunities
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Because if your goal is a perpetually expanding cycle of profit based on treating a problem then there's no solution to be found in a solution. The only solution is in perpetuating and controlling an ever expanding problem. Not if you already have a captive market, which the pharmaceutical companies do in the US, as they exercise control over the medical establishment and by extension their patients (via government lobbying, the private insurance industry, and privatization of hospitals). Make human beings the focus of society instead of profit. If this happens then everything changes.
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Perhaps not. But I think this is more of a cultural problem in the US. There is a fixation on violence and control in our society that I haven't seen in other developed countries. The cult in this image is an example. At the slightest provocation an American is more likely to reach for a gun than any other developed nation, primarily because we're a country governed by paranoia and violence.
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Is it? Many other countries have a comparable number of guns per capita as the US, and they don't experience these events. For example, in Europe and Canada many people own guns. There's something unique about the US, whether it's our culture, or lack of adequate mental health care, or some other contributing variable that sets us apart.
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There doesn't seem to be much discussion about psychiatric medication being the cause of these shootings. The majority of school shooters have been on some form of medication, including Nikolas Cruz of Parkland. The media should be talking more about this, as most of these medications list homicidal / suicidal ideation as a known side effect. I doubt there will be much attention paid to this, however, as the pharmaceutical industry has so much clout and lobbying power. They're not about to entertain the notion that their products turn people into homicidal maniacs. It's easier just to blame guns. The International Society for Ethical Psychology and Psychiatry called for an investigation into this back in 2013 after Newtown. http://psychintegrity.org/statementontheconnectionbetweenpsychotropicddrugsandmassmurder/
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It's difficult to argue with you when you keep choosing to purposefully misrepresent the facts: "The Violent Crime Control and Law Enforcement Act of 1994, which incorporated the Assault Weapons Ban of 1994, banned the manufacturing and importing of the rifle [AR-15] along with other assault rifles, but the ban ended in 2004. The regulation of the rifle is now left up to the states, and several state regulations are described below" ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- "California Penal Code section 12276 subdivisions (e) and (f) made it unlawful to sell an AK or AR-15 series rifle after August 16, 2000 in the state of California. Certain features of the weapon may be removed to declassify it as an assault weapon, but it’s still illegal to sell in California. It is legal to possess the weapon in California if it was possessed before December 31, 1999 and registered with the state before December 31, 2000." ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- "Colorado In January of 2007, the Denver City Council passed a law that modified the city’s assault weapon ban. It is legal to own an AR-15 or other assault rifles if they do not contain a magazine with 21 or more rounds. " source: https://gun.laws.com/ar-15 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Under the 1994 Federal Assault weapons ban, the AR-15 was on the list of banned firearms. And one more thing, the type of ammo that the AR-15 uses? .45 and .22 But none of this seems to matter to you. You prefer your own made up definitions. Generally I think there is a kind of fatalistic lethargy in the minds of gun owners when it comes to tackling this problem. Their view is that guns make society safer, which is patently false, but yet they cling to this logical fallacy and promote less regulation and more consumption of firearms (driven by thought system 1). They don't care about other people affected by gun violence, only themselves and their families, which is why they don't do anything substantive when tragedies occur. Sure they like to pray about it, and if they are personally affected by it they pray and cry and believe their deceased loved one is in heaven. But they don't want to actually do anything, that would require compromising their guns, which is their main priority above all else.
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You seem to be blatantly ignoring the definition of assault rifle to help your argument. "The semi-automatic version of the United States military M16 rifle". And what is an M16? *drum roll please* It is an ASSAULT RIFLE. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M16_rifle So, we can move on. Finally. Or perhaps you don't know how to respond to the facts because you have no rebuttal argument.
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Here, I highlighted it in bold with capital letters so that you won't miss it: A RIFLE THAT RESEMBLES A MILITARY ASSAULT RIFLE BUT IS DESIGNED TO ALLOW ONLY SEMO-AUTOMATIC FIRE Are you seriously trying to suggest that an AR-15 or SIG MCX does not fit that category? It doesn't really matter what generalizations anyone makes at this point. 20 kids were gunned down at Sandy Hook in 2012 and gun-owners didn't do a damn thing. That's all anyone needs to know at this point about the seriousness of your intent.
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Nor I. Amending the constitution is a very serious matter. So is the epidemic of violence plaguing our country. We need to define why people need firearms in the modern era, what is a legitimate reason to own one. Personal collections and target practice seem like frivolous reasons to me, but we need to have that debate. It would be similar to someone saying they like to collect level 4 biological agents and keep them in their refrigerator because it's their hobby. The rest of us would agree that this would be an unacceptable risk to the general public and a frivolous justification. Remember the Patriot Act? It was passed into law in 2001. If the government really wants to, they can call you a terrorist and deny you a fair trial. I never said they were all mass murderers. I said that because there is a substantial percentage of mentally ill people in the country, and there are hundreds of millions of guns, AND these guns are so readily available to anyone who wants one, it's inevitable that we would see these levels of violence in our society. Look at the numbers. AMERICAN POPULATION (Estimate) = 327,117,023 NUMBER OF GUNS IN AMERICA = 310,000,000 (conservative estimate) PERCENTAGE OF MENTALLY ILL PEOPLE IN AMERICA = 18.2% So the number of mentally ill people in America = 59,000,000 (18.2% x 327,117,023) So, using an extremely conservative model, if only 1 percent of these mentally ill people are involved in a violent incident, then you will have 590,000 violent incidents because of mental health each year. (1% of 59,000,000 = 590,000). If only 10% of these violent incidents involve a firearm, then you would have 59,000 violent incidents involving a firearm each year because of mental health. Now, we don't know the actual percentages (partly because the NRA lobbies so intensely to stop any federally funded research into the subject (http://www.businessinsider.com/cdc-nra-kills-gun-violence-research-2013-1), but as you can see, even in this extremely conservative model, the numbers are alarming. It's systemically inevitable. http://www.newsweek.com/nearly-1-5-americans-suffer-mental-illness-each-year-230608 This is a debate. It's inevitable. That's because he isn't seriously considering the implications of it. Yes, because in the current situation that is the only logical way to view it. Anyone with a serious mental health issue should not be allowed to own a deadly weapon. It's grossly irresponsible to suggest otherwise. I'm more concerned with schizophrenia, bi-polar disorder, or clinical depression. https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/assault rifle Well, state what you feel is a legitimate reason to own a firearm and we will debate. You know as well as I do that they only get up in arms when people start talking about gun control. Any other rights, they couldn't care less about. Such as? No, you just chose to ignore the points I was making instead of addressing them and creating a rebuttal. Possibly because you won't state your solution to the problem. It's easy to sit on the fence. What is your answer to this problem?
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We're talking about magazine capacity - a semi-automatic weapon with a 30 round magazine qualifies as an assault rifle. This kind of obstinacy on your part is why nothing ever changes. At some point we'll have to clarify why people need firearms. It's not 1776 anymore. There's no wild west frontier. The British government isn't planning to retake the colonies. If target practice is your justification for having the second amendment, perhaps we should amend the constitution again and erase the right to keep and bear arms. You must not keep up with the news. NSA wiretapping. Eminent domain. The end of habeas corpus. Guess you have never heard of these things. It's "over the top and sensational" to point out that America has a mental health problem? I find that a bit odd. Isn't this what right wingers always say: it's not the guns! it's mental health." Are you really suggesting that all people who own firearms remain completely stable for their entire lives? You're in favor of token reforms by the sound of it, not serious solutions.
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Here's what you wrote before: "That guy had a fully automatic weapon. Not an AR-15." Yes, it does actually. You're in denial about what is happening in the big picture. This goes back to the point that was made earlier about the two systems of thought. You're focusing on your friends who you see as good guys. Maybe they are. It's irrelevant. Because of a lack of vetting and regulation, your friends are participating in a business that makes guns available to almost anyone. Additionally, you're choosing to ignore the statistics about mental health. More denial. How come every time a mass shooting happens the mantra from the right is always: "it's a mental health problem, not a gun problem!" but then not a single thing is done to vet customers who may be afflicted by a mental illness. And we need routine vetting too - every year at the minimum. Just because someone is stable when they purchase the weapon doesn't mean they will continue to be that way.