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Everything posted by TheVat
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@Davy_Jones, I'm fond of QBism, to get around the troubles of quantum realist interpretations. Limited time, so I'll leave it there. (Quantum Bayesianism is the longer original term. )
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Why bother with life when everything you do will get stolen anyway?
TheVat replied to inbreeding's topic in The Lounge
Thanks, didn't see that one. And reading the rest of that post, I'm seeing personal mental health needs that cannot really be met on the web. The family member getting typhoid suggests a challenging spot in a developing country. I hope there are people there working towards a more nurturing community -- sometimes it seems to me that America could, instead of trying to export our highly boasted values (often down the barrel of a gun), just send money and expertise for clean water, sustainable agriculture, green energy, and local entrepreneurship. When desperation drops, warlords and tyrants and religious zealots have less of a foothold. -
Why bother with life when everything you do will get stolen anyway?
TheVat replied to inbreeding's topic in The Lounge
Inbreed, are you quite young? Your posts may suggest some youthfulness. If you are young, then I would suggest that you are in a quite enviable position because you are at the point in life where many things start to get considerably better. A lot of pessimism is really just a temporary failure of idealism - really, I'd say most pessimists are people who started out very idealistic and then had some rude awakenings on life's difficulties. I think it's likely you will, in the next few years, encounter many people who evidence kindness and decency and these encounters will dispel some of your present gloom. Many good people who do good things are not, as you stated in a post, being "killed off." Unfortunately, modern media, in order to generate clickbait and revenue, tend to focus on a few areas of the world where there is an unusual level of violence and depratvity. They know their audiences are addicted to that sort of stuff, so that's what they focus on. Our posts do not show our IP addresses, so I don't know where you live (it's not mentioned in your profile), and of course I hope you are not trapped in some hotbed of oppression and poverty, like Gaza or Afghanistan, or someplace else where personal freedom is squelched by extremist cults or totalitarian ideologies. If you are, one thing you should consider is that you may be the true hope of that place getting better and that there are very likely others who quietly feel much the same as you do. Think of this: after 13.7 billion years, that pattern of thoughts that's called "you," gets to be alive and have the miracle of consciousness for a while. You should view this as an honor - most things in the universe do not get to be conscious or only have a minimal amount of it and are trapped by instincts and fear. You get to have special tools to get past those. Try to make the most of this moment in the light, and you will come to realize what an honor it truly is to have a human mind. -
Haha. Looking back at my post, I probably could have added "the lab" to "around," in my remark about having a BEC around. And thanks for a great post on the ontological issues that arise when one tries to ascribe human macro-level realism to the world of the very tiny, the quantum realm. At some point, I wonder if we break down the root meaning of reality, we simply get "what is realized" and then only those entities where the realization is potentially shared between all. And for realization, context is everything to the truth of what is realized.
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Trumpism is all memes and slogans and other things that replicate easily on social media. It rolls its angry tank treads over facts, nuance, insight, expertise, evidence, accountability, and error detection. Like fascism, Trumpism thinks the world must be simple. And people, too. So when you are beguiled by some really simple solution to a complex real-world problem, you're getting a little taste of what Trumpism is all about.
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Have they? Again, the word fetish can drive otherwise sane people to make atoms to be real in the same sense that soccer balls are real. But anyone who's had a Bose Einstein Condensate around, where all the atoms merge into a single quantum mechanical entity, might wonder if they're real in quite the same way. Generally, I think "observables" describes the appearances without assigning the ontological status that we give macro-level stuff like soccer balls. OK, time for scrambled eggs and Fats Waller. I ain't misbehavin.
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Climate change (split from Climate Change Tipping Points)
TheVat replied to Doogles31731's topic in Climate Science
Around pages 16-21, this article has dozens of citations to studies of IR absorption and re-emission of CO2... https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6174548/ This looks at radiative surface forcing.... https://ams.confex.com/ams/Annual2006/techprogram/paper_100737.htm I hope this is helpful. And this video has a rather simple and fun experiment showing absorption..... -
Show me the evidence that inbreeding between species is wrong?
TheVat replied to inbreeding's topic in Genetics
Inbreeding increases the rate of recessive gene disorders. https://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=6509683 See also the link at the top of the article on the Syrian village hobbled by years of inbreeding. Google searches are your friend. -
The belief in DM is based on observables. That's my point with the neutrino example (iirc some even posit certain neutrinos as candidates for DM). That's still the "real" of science, deferring to observables and inference from them. As Dr. Don said, don't get too attached to words. It's the concept underlying, no? Am out of time. Back tomorrow, which it probably is already where you are. Will stoke myself with poached eggs named Sinatra.
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Climate change (split from Climate Change Tipping Points)
TheVat replied to Doogles31731's topic in Climate Science
Plus one, KF. Positive feedback cycles with bog methane and coastal methane hydrates are scary stuff. I want to take up a couple other good points you raised, when I have time. If others don't get to them first. -
When science and philosophy talk to each other, there's way too much semantic confidence placed in "reality." Davy, iirc, said something about how everyone uses the term the same way, but this heated discussion suggests not. Science defers to observables and only renders patterns and predictions about them. Dragging in Jane and the tool-using chimps only underscores that. Even ghostly neutrinos have to trigger a phototube that's picking up Cerenkov radiation from an enormous tank of water. So reality, for science, equates to some sort of observable. Something happened that's not just in my head (so to speak). The deeper existential implications of all these observables, whether they are substances or property bundles or algorithms in a vast brain (Philip Dick says hello) or shadows on a cavern wall is something that philosophers can thrash around with, using various epistemological tools and intersubjective workarounds. Mushrooms optional.
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Also worth factoring in that the US subpopulations with a higher incidence of Covid also happen to be groups where childcare is less affordable and where it's more likely that grandparents are watching children. And rates of diabetes, cardiovascular disease, pulmonary disease, are higher in this older cohort. Among immigrant groups, extended family cohabitation is also more common, with grandparents living in close quarters with grandchildren. All these factors combine to suggest an urgent need to weigh in the risks of greater virus shedding. Which does come mainly from the unvaccinated.
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Climate change (split from Climate Change Tipping Points)
TheVat replied to Doogles31731's topic in Climate Science
AGW is also a rice-growing and ruminant livestock problem, given that they produce significant amounts of methane, a potent GHG. If more people equals more rice and meat consumption, then AGW will not be decoupled from population growth just by elimination of dirty energy. We may also be looking at switches to millet, and ways to alter the digestion of cattle (or go to vat production of beef, etc.) if people insist on traditional foods but want to keep atmospheric methane levels down. There are already experiments underway with adding a certain type of kelp to cattle feeds to lower their methane emissions. https://www.ucdavis.edu/news/feeding-cattle-seaweed-reduces-their-greenhouse-gas-emissions-82-percent -
difference between upvote and like vote
TheVat replied to TheVat's topic in Suggestions, Comments and Support
None that you know of... I always imagine a tiny cohort of Trumpists who aren't total morons or total bigots but have naiveté in politics and cling to the idea that, flawed as he is as a human being, he is a vehicle for what they imagine as an isolationist, small-government ideology that they sincerely believe will be a good thing. I've met a couple like that. I really had to bite my lip not to say things like did someone drop you on your head when you were little? -
Excellent idea, @J.C.MacSwell. A wall could also serve to confine politicians, who comprise a clear and demonstrable public menace, inside.
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Abduction, possibly. You observed Davy's linguistic action and then make an inference to the best explanation of what he means by poached egg and Frank Sinatra. Abductive reasoning (also called abduction,[1] abductive inference,[1] or retroduction[2]) is a form of logical inference formulated and advanced by American philosopher Charles Sanders Peirce beginning in the last third of the 19th century. It starts with an observation or set of observations and then seeks the simplest and most likely conclusion from the observations. This process, unlike deductive reasoning, yields a plausible conclusion but does not positively verify it. Abductive conclusions are thus qualified as having a remnant of uncertainty or doubt, which is expressed in retreat terms such as "best available" or "most likely". One can understand abductive reasoning as inference to the best explanation,[3] although not all usages of the terms abduction and inference to the best explanation are exactly equivalent.[4][5] Which came first, the Frank or the egg?
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What is the real difference between science and philosophy?
TheVat replied to dimreepr's topic in General Philosophy
I sometimes wonder at the level of mystification here. Wasn't science originally called "natural philosophy" and branched off from philosophy, developing methods particular to unraveling the mysteries of nature? I have this odd feeling that the OP question was dealt with eight pages ago, and the thread morphed into: does modern physics range beyond science and into metaphysics and epistemology ? Which goes back to wrestling matches like Neils Bohr and Einstein arguing over the Copenhagen interpretation and quantum realism. There's really no doubt that theoreticians do plenty of philosophy, especially where a wavefunction is concerned. -
Climate change (split from Climate Change Tipping Points)
TheVat replied to Doogles31731's topic in Climate Science
Among the carrot v stick approaches, the only viable ones I can see (other than the demographic shift that population pundits have been talking about since the 1950s) are of the economic carrot variety -- monetary awards for having two or fewer children (which also has it's own built-in monetary awards, as small families can generally provide more amenities to themselves and their children). Of course that would require an economic model different from growth-based capitalism to really take root. And an end to male-dominated cultures where many babies still equal virility, and all the swaggering variations on that stupid theme. Will try to link an economist I saw recently talking about a gradual reduction scenario, and some of its advantages and pitfalls. (meantime, google "cat slaps a seal, " it's great!) -
Never mind the concertina wire, Just surround the Capitol with a troupe of concertina players. This will repel any assault.
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What our house needs is a Schrodinger litter box. There's no definite poop in it unless you observe the box.
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Gosh, let's not mess around - just install trapdoors along all pathways, which open into piranha pools. If it occasionally sacrifices an unwary politician....meh.
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I've had some experience with smoke odor, living near a few wildfires. A couple thoughts -- smoke odor can be persistent, especially where porous materials like carpet, upholstery, clothing are concerned. Steam cleaning is helpful with the carpet/furniture (especially if you can get the landlord to view this as part of their obligations to tenants). Wall paint is also surprisingly porous and holds odor, too. A sponge and soapy water may be called for. Also a solution of baking soda, scrubbed onto surface. I think it's likely that the apartments hold odor because they have more porous materials. The burned apartment has probably had all its carpets and furnishings removed, as well as damaged surfaces, and so is harboring less residual odors.
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Climate change (split from Climate Change Tipping Points)
TheVat replied to Doogles31731's topic in Climate Science
My overall impression is that the only feasible way to keep human population at some sustainable level is to promote women's rights in regions where they are still more or less seen as chattel. Women who gain rights, and literacy, and a voice on how they want to plan a family, tend to have fewer children. As for more draconian solutions, those are usually the failure mode of civil society. War, genocide, totalitarian control of citizens reproductive plans. Ultimately, the loss of arable land (desertification), fisheries, grazing land, habitable temp ranges, and so on, will be the deciding factors in earth's carrying capacity for humans. Mother Nature will become the primary agent of population control. (well, that, and the sterilizing effects of various endocrine disruptors which are presently increasing in human tissues everywhere) -
What is the real difference between science and philosophy?
TheVat replied to dimreepr's topic in General Philosophy
There's the old joke about a university budget meeting, ends with "the theoretical physics department manages with just pencils, paper, and wastebaskets...but it's the philosophy department that's the most thrifty, they don't even need wastebaskets! " -
difference between upvote and like vote
TheVat replied to TheVat's topic in Suggestions, Comments and Support
Haha! My thanks to you and others for replying. I guess I'll keep not using the feature, and leave it to the quality control crew who will hopefully not bias new users overly much. And if I see a DV cast that's saying "Argh, I'm frustrated with you," rather than, say, "misinformation" or "sophistry, " then I might ask about that DV and hope the DVer can address it. I wasn't assuming. Discussion forums are for discussing, is my thought. If you're not invested enough to post, then it's questionable that you're issuing a quality judgement. As @iNow alluded to, the system is predicated on the maturity and restraint of the users -- I'm probably a little too cynical from years on troll-ridden MBs. Seen too many Al Pacino meltdowns... I'm outta order? You're ALL outta order!!