I'm not an American, so I can't answer this question. However, I did have a rather strong interest in this US election, more than any previous US election (and even more than the recent state election at home). Based on the information I was receiving, it seemed to me that Trump was going to win. Although the political commentators were saying the polls were within the margin of error, the polls were nevertheless pointing to a Trump victory. And many of the "ordinary folk" that I saw interviewed were saying that they were voting for Trump. But I'm no expert and certainly wouldn't have locked in a prediction. Watching the election results come in, it did seem like a foregone conclusion from the start.