Jump to content

AlanGomez

Members
  • Posts

    9
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by AlanGomez

  1. There is a well know mechanism here: Chemical changes inside Mars's core caused it to lose its magnetic field. This, in turn, caused it to lose its oceans. https://daily.jstor.org/how-mars-lost-its-magnetic-field-and-then-its-oceans/
  2. Let me see, gaseous water in atmosphere remains around 37.5 million-billion gallons. Some H2O could even go further out our atmosphere like happened to Mars, for example. Well, also regressions over paleo data from USA (2019 years) shows same increasing behavior. Want to see?
  3. Well, you ask/say that we had warmer periods... well, there were 3 to 10 million years ago, and there was no human civilization at that time.
  4. In fact, now we have nearly 50% of moderate drought lands in US, notoriously increasing from paleodata, according to https://www.drought.gov/historical-information?dataset=0&selectedDateUSDM=20240924&selectedDatePaleo=20170101&selectedDateSpi=20240801,
  5. Is also known that such natural compensation mechanisms have 'elastic limits', so it's not so speculative to apply a simple regression model that fits future data, as can be done with carbon emissions, global temperature... and so on. Later I will provide those analysis. Also an important projections also have been done by others: "By the end of the century, the duration of moderate, severe and exceptional droughts in some regions of China will double, and the drought intensity will increase by over 80%." https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11430-021-9927-x
  6. About data source, I must to say that despite some warnings related to completeness, I said "regression says" not "data shows that...", also noisy data are not a problem since we got good prediction intervals (CI) and R squared. More and completed data are required to confirm or reject my initial hypothesis.
  7. Here I share this analysis from data obtained at: https://data.unccd.int/countries-affected-by-drought?epoch=e5 As you can see (with coefficient of determination of ~ 96%), regression says that we will face a moderate-severe droughts over nearly 100% Planet Earth lands by 2048.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

We have placed cookies on your device to help make this website better. You can adjust your cookie settings, otherwise we'll assume you're okay to continue.