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Everything posted by swansont
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But if there are more deaths (or accidents) from an automated system as compared to human-controlled, it means the automation is the problem, and not (yet) a solution.
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I’m not seeing the connection to what I posted. We had all this emphasis on context in this tangent, and iNow’s post was not in the context of sports. It was a much broader view. I was merely pointing out some hyperbole. I don’t feel a need to defend something I didn’t say.
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Is the universe at least 136 billion years old, is the universe not expanding at all, did the universe begin its expansion when Hubble measured its redshift for the first time or was light twice as fast 13.5 billion years ago than it is today?
swansont replied to tmdarkmatter's topic in Astronomy and Cosmology
No, you can’t just say it. You need a model, and have to look at the implications of the model to see if it’s consistent with what we observe. There are threads discussing shrinking matter conjectures, and why they don’t work. such as https://www.scienceforums.net/topic/128216-on-the-observational-constrains-of-shrinking-matter-theories/ -
! Moderator Note Copying and pasting someone else’s post without attribution is plagiarism, and against the rules. Don’t do it again.
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A good start would be to investigate the biology - beyond what chromosomes or visible reproductive parts one has - of what it means to be a man or woman.
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Global warming (split from Atmosphere Correcting Lamp)
swansont replied to mistermack's topic in Climate Science
! Moderator Note Then find the material and link to it. This is unacceptable in a scientific discussion. ! Moderator Note This and the first statement are also unacceptable Rule 2.12 We expect arguments to be made in good faith. Honest discussions, backed up by evidence when necessary. Example of tactics that are not in good faith include misrepresentation, arguments based on distraction, attempts to omit or ignore information, advancing an ideology or agenda at the expense of the science being discussed, general appeals to science being flawed or dogmatic, conspiracies, and trolling. Specifically, a claim that you can make the models say anything, and that NASA/GISS are manipulating data. You want to believe this things? That's your business. But you don't get to claim that here without having the receipts. -
I have seen precious little discussion of the physical factual evidence in this thread. I see repetition of talking points, appeals to grade-school biology and plenty of hyperbole. What you call reality seems to be a world view. You probably identify as right- or left-handed. Why do you choose to do so?
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Is there any scientific basis for this?
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We’d expect the crash rate to be the baseline if the self-driving feature was not employed.
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The rules don’t, and there’s been no evidence presented that this is being attempted. So we’re where we started on page 1, with a made-up scenario.
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Haven’t found fatalities (yet), but according to these sources driverless vehicles have ~9 crashes per million miles driven, while the overall US rate is 0.26 per million miles https://www.knrlegal.com/car-accident-lawyer/self-driving-car-accident-statistics/#:~:text=Self-Driving Car Quick Facts,autonomous car to drive them. https://safetydawg.com/measure-collision-rate-safety-consultant/#:~:text=Recently the “American Transportation Research,average or better than average%3F Fatalities depend on several factors, including how close you are to a hospital, so driverless vehicles not being legal everywhere might not give a true safety comparison, but having a ~36x higher collision rate surely suggests the technology isn’t there yet, and we’d not be safer edit: 2nd source has a somewhat restrictive definition of collision; it doesn’t include “fender benders” https://jalopnik.com/self-driving-car-vs-human-99-percent-safe-crash-data-1850170268 Cites a higher rate - 1 crash per .55 million miles. Still lower than driverless
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! Moderator Note Non-speculations discussion of warming has been split https://www.scienceforums.net/topic/132160-global-warming-split-from-atmosphere-correcting-lamp/
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What’s the rate, though? You can’t just compare the raw numbers.
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But you didn’t cite this earlier. You said it was because they are different. Evidence has been provided that transgender women who undergo HRT (which is the rule for many sports) have no advantage. So which is it?
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We’re arguing that gender is nonbinary and not determined by your chromosomes. Also that “choose” is perhaps not the right phrasing; does one choose to be right- or left-handed? The IAAF, for example, started using gender for their competition category designation in the 90’s (you said you read the article where this was pointed out). Part of the current controversy is their pivot to using testosterone levels. And part of this discussion’s difficulty is the confusion between sex and gender, despite protests from some that they aren’t confusing the two. You seem to have done so here. In the context of “what is the definition of ‘ban’ you’d find in a dictionary, that people use in discussions that are in good faith” rather than Humpty Dumpty’s “A word means what I want it to mean, nothing more, nothing less." But in the context of iNow’s post, which is what you quoted; that will do. It would be a mistake to paint feminists as wanting to exclude. That’s a subset, the trans-exclusionary radical feminists, or TERFs. There are plenty of feminists who are trans-inclusionary
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What does “ban” mean?
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I didn’t twist anything. And the context was set by iNow’s post. If you think I’m guilty of twisting the context, you must also acknowledge the iNow’s context was twisted (and this is what I was attempting to show. How dare I do that!). I have to assume someone meant what they said. If their words were incorrectly chosen, they should clarify. If they meant to use that phrasing, they would just respond with snark. And we see what has transpired.
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I’m not sure why you think I didn’t understand the context. On the contrary, I think perhaps you don’t understand the context of transgender bans occurring in the US. It’s not just telling kids they can’t compete. Almost a third of transgender youth live in states that have banned gender-affirming care. Banned as in there are no legal options. An actual ban. In that context, men are not banned from competing. They are restricted, in some cases, in which leagues they might compete. But they are not banned from competing, which means they would not be allowed to compete at all. The claim is BS. It relies on the fallacy of equivocation. Do you really want to defend it? Transgender women have been participating in women’s sports for a number of years. Women’s sports exists. The claim is BS as well. While one might defer to a subject matter expert, in this case I won’t.
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I know that this is one approach, but another is to not give such tripe any oxygen. The problem here is the assumption that one is dealing with people truly interested in rational discourse, rather than trying to appeal to emotion, and also the assumption that they will argue in good faith. We have too many examples of this not being the case. Diso had many of the hallmarks of someone showing up to stir the pot until they got banned, so they can tell themselves they were persecuted for telling the truth instead of the reality that they were being insufferably boorish, and also boring, and it’s just not worth having them around. The “I am a legend in my mind” folks are a dime a dozen.
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Women’s sports don’t exist? Odd that I haven’t noticed. Men have been banned from sports? Odd that I haven’t noticed.
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Also to rail about how everyone should be free to say anything, and then whine about being insulted.
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Of which you are a member, and joined voluntarily.
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One wonders why you are here, rather than there.
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There is no controversy. I support the first amendment: the government should not censor you. But freedom of speech does not carry any requirement that you have to be provided the megaphone by anyone. Because this forum does not belong to you.
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Too bad it doesn’t work that way. A lot of folks are swayed by emotion, not reason. That’s why we have people that repeat nonsense. And too often people that appeal to freedom of speech are advocating for freedom from consequences of their speech.