Everything posted by CharonY
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On the world-wide trend of anti-establishment voting.
I am fairly confident that at the University level it is too late. First, college kids are only one small-ish segment of the segment. But even worse, one has to work against all the bullshit that is in their heads and their distrust is also increasingly directed against any form of expertise. Weird assumption regarding topics such as vaccinations and evolution have become increasingly prevalent (anti-evolution sentiments were higher 20 years ago, but dropped only to increase in recent times again). In some counties media literacy is being introduced into school curricula. The issue is that they somewhat still assume that there is a "normal" media landscape running parallel to the internet. However, traditional media are being dismantled and independent news are becoming a rarity. Well or there is no pendulum anymore. Well, that is symptomatic of the overall problem. Folks want to have competing things. They want the threat of climate change to go away. Simultaneously, they want to carry the burden of the cost for that. Similarly during the pandemic. Folks wanted restrictions and deaths go away. But things like masks were too much of a burden. That opens up the road for populism where you promise solutions but have no realistic paths to that. An ethical government should be transparent, but a transparent government would exhibit flaws that will be punished by the electorate. Rather hide and deflect and to stay in power. The system disincentivizes real solutions as techbro/populist approaches to solutions which promise convenient (if unrealistic) solutions are simply more attractive. Then add a media landscape that elevate those voices over critical (if depressing) ones and you have good mixture where you cannot get good solutions, and those who try will get blamed. Don't get me wrong, there are real issues that needs to be addressed, but there is a general and understandable unwillingness to make sacrifices. Instead, it is politically prudent to find someone to blame. And this approach has been supercharged in the last decade or so. Thinking a bit more about the techbro aspect- I feel increasingly folks have been promised and believe in simple, disruptive solutions. "Things are not working out, so we'll just break things but magically all will be better, just trust us." As we have seen, the magic promises that were made by the tech industry actually never panned out and virtually all promises of being ethical, transparent or being not-for-profit ultimately fell along the wayside. Rather than elevating the common folk, they became the product.
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The growth of the inequality in the Western world
You are right, my apologies. I should have said that they were ideological aligned (i..e in the aspects of neoliberal economics) and not suggested that Reaganomics was to blame. My thinking fell prey to an (unfounded) assumption of US ideological dominance. This is especially bad due to European origins of the underpinning schools of thoughts.
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The growth of the inequality in the Western world
I think this particular view of small government and reducing social systems as part of trickle down economic has entered the arena in quite a few European countries (and Canada). Thatcher was a poster child of basically similar ideas regarding free markets coupled with reduced government spending, for example. However, as already mentioned, this is not an issue of the Western world alone. There are different ways to measure wealth inequality, but using e.g. the Gini index, countries with the highest wealth inequality are found in Africa and South America, whereas the lowest include European countries such as the Netherlands, Czech Republic and Iceland. Also, the trends are not universally trending towards disparity. Looking at trends, it might seem that crises (including the pandemic) have resulted in upwards jump in inequality (suggesting that the economic system allows small groups to benefit greatly from crises). But we do not see that trend in Western Europe (quite the opposite). You can see below the Gini index (0=total equality; 1=total inequality) from US, China, Russia, Canada and some Western European countries (from ourworldindata.org). The details are more complicated, of course, but I am not sure whether a simple narrative is sufficient to explain these differences. And certainly it does not point to a singular issue exclusively to the West.
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Why is having separate male and female bodies in the human species a good or even a bad thing?
Many organisms reproduce asexually (basically all prokaryotes, a range of animals, plants and fungi). Then there is sexual reproduction among hermaphrodites, and I feel I forgot another method for some reasons. The development of sexual reproduction is a bit perplexing from a genetics perspective as instead of inheriting all your genes to the next generation, you now only provide half. This is referred to as the two-fold cost of sex.
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On the world-wide trend of anti-establishment voting.
I'll add some more responses once I get a few free minutes, but I found this article regarding an extremist candidate suddenly surging in the polls through social media quite relevant to the discussion: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/nov/27/romanian-regulator-tiktok-suspended-cyber-interference-election-georgescu
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The candidates’ aliases on a poll
I don't think this question makes much sense, as neither have engaged much in politics and such have provided much what policies they would propose. If anything, this post exemplifies what is wrong in politics, it is superficial, makes a lot of unproven (but also not explicit) assumptions and then presents itself as a binary choice. If your point is that voters didn't use information other than gut feeling to make their choice, you might not be wrong. But at least to me your overall point remains elusive.
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Who will be the first to go?
Another billionaire trait is to leverage wealth to alter the rules rather than play the game better (or god forbid, ensure fairness in the game). Creating dependency on private organizations for national security is such a step, for example.
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On the world-wide trend of anti-establishment voting.
But that is the same thing that I have mentioned- it is perception vs reality. The anxiety and uncertainty we have- well they were there all along, but they were not perceived as such. In order to cut through that, statistics are important to quantify the change. Yet, it does not reach folks. Locally many things have improved massively, if we take things that can be measured. Such as food availability, life expectancy, heck, even things like entertainment. Yet none of this positive changes are felt. On the non-tangible side, you are correct though. Social changes are faster than they were and I do think that this adds to anxiety. And this is what a big issue is. Intangible are not rooted in simple measurable elements. And the latter are, as you mentioned, rapidly dismissed (as they are measured, but not felt). That suggest that we increasingly rely on our gut feeling and anxiety and all the other negative aspects and increasingly ignore the tangible facts.
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On the world-wide trend of anti-establishment voting.
While a lot of the focus in recent discussions is understandably focused on the US elections, there is a world-wide ongoing anti-establishment voting going on in Western democracies. We have discussed various elements related to that, and argued about the role (or rather, the diminishing role) of the political center. I cam across a Vox article that contextualizes quite a few of our discussion points and I think it may be worth a read, as it provides more general perspective on the shifting political landscape. https://www.vox.com/politics/388284/trump-2024-win-global-anti-incumbent-system It does not claim to provide answers, but I think it adds to the narrative that, well, something is going on that is not fully understood yet and that many traditional approaches to view and react to these things(including polling) may be off. As background: On the center: This bit I found striking. Personally, I feel that folks have lost a sense of perspective for some reasons (*cough* social media? *cough*) and are caught ins self-reinforcing narratives that can be pretty much evidence-less. Adding to that bad actors (though I am not even sure they are needed), it can result in a destructive process with no real way out. The traditional way to address these issues is to rely on facts and education. But again, I get the sense that this is not working for large swaths of the population anymore. And here I think the trend is moving into the wrong direction, especially with a view on college-aged kids.
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What does it mean for the US now? Like what does second term of Trump mean for the US now?
That is true, but OTOH, they continue to control the majority of legislatures. Also, in Iowa and New Hampshire Republicans gained supermajorities, in Michigan Republicans control the house and in Vermont and New York Dems lost the supermajorities. As a whole probably still status quo, but unfortunately the status quo as a whole favored Republican efforts on State levels.
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What does it mean for the US now? Like what does second term of Trump mean for the US now?
Taken over state legislatures has been a long-term strategy of groups like the Federalist society. There is no hope. Only cheese.
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What does it mean for the US now? Like what does second term of Trump mean for the US now?
Going back to OP, apparently we will see insightful and well thought-out policies such as these: https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/11/25/us/trump-news What a brilliant mind.
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Question thermal paste
There is no set expiration date that I am aware of, but it degrades over time. Depending on the formulation it can kind of dry out and become powdery for example. Generally speaking, if it is not overheating it is probably safe to leave on. But if you want to remove it, you have to put new paste in to enable efficient heat transfer.
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What does it mean for the US now? Like what does second term of Trump mean for the US now?
Interestingly, "racism" always had a negative connotations, even when folks enacted clearly racist policies. I have seen some surveys from the Jim Crows days for example showed that most white folks expressed negative feeling to racism, yet considered segregation a positive policy. This disconnect is also reflected in modern HR training where folks now emphasize "implicit bias" over racism, as the latter caused a lot of pushback, though functionally having the same systemic effect. I think often it is based on a limited experiences that causes a worldview that is implicitly racist. If you are used to interact predominantly with white folks, any minority will just pop up more. This can lead to awkward interactions (creating and reinforcing negative feelings) and/or things that are implicit discriminatory. Simple things like hair structure and styles are a prototypical examples, often with more severe consequences than one might imagine. This is what in recent times try to popularize with the term anti-racism, highlighting the active effort it takes not to be racist. But as with any attempts to move the needle, these almost always result in swift pushback from the establishment, sometimes further diluting the message. That, in turn, is seen as evidence how ineffective and performative the (any) approach is, justifying the status quo. The good news is that young folks are taking better to these new messages. The bad news is that they often do not understand what they mean and it risks becoming performative and vulnerable to revisionism. The overall point though, is that the way we learn and interact with our environment easily leads to elements of racism (regardless of your background) and these tendencies are easily exploited, as has been said. Just as a preemptively: the reason why a lot of discussion on racism in the US is focused on the white segment is because it relates to systemic, rather than individual racism. However, for elections, the latter might play a bigger role.
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Cuban Missile Crisis Hypothetical
Critical thinking involves understanding and contextualizing questions and facts. I am very curious about what you think critical thinking is.
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What does it mean for the US now? Like what does second term of Trump mean for the US now?
Yeah, so someone who is already proficient in corruption (basically accepting a bribe for the Trump Uni case, IIRC).
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What does it mean for the US now? Like what does second term of Trump mean for the US now?
My guess is that they failed to get Anthony Hopkins and Chlamydia is too busy.
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What does it mean for the US now? Like what does second term of Trump mean for the US now?
Apparently Gaetz has withdrawn after it looks like he wouldn't get the votes (https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/11/21/us/trump-gaetz-news).
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Resistance
Did you already forget what he did when he was supposed to transfer power?
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What does it mean for the US now? Like what does second term of Trump mean for the US now?
Ok, can anyone tell me that we are not in bizarro world?
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What does it mean for the US now? Like what does second term of Trump mean for the US now?
I think the issue boils down to what we discussed elsewhere with regard to populism. There might be real concerns somewhere, but they build easy narratives which is frequently dismissive of facts or expert knowledge. That way everything can rolled into whatever solution one might like and/or simply use it to rail against... something. A similar approach that techbros are doing.
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What does it mean for the US now? Like what does second term of Trump mean for the US now?
I suspect that given how harebrained folks are getting, even more reputable media will shift, too. After all, they will be getting a new generation of journalists eventually and larger societal changes can only be slowed so much by incumbents.
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What does it mean for the US now? Like what does second term of Trump mean for the US now?
Yeah the NPR article I linked above is a bit more nuanced, this one squarely presents a slice that, in isolation, is one of the less crazy ideas. At the same time, they are (not by chance I would guess) the most nebulous ones.
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'The Playboy of The Western World' - (When Fascists Come to Town)
It is great to have redundancy in the efficiency department by having redundant leadership. In a redundant manner. They will probably also be a bastion against cancel culture. Such as this:
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What does it mean for the US now? Like what does second term of Trump mean for the US now?
Well, some like him enough (or are afraid of Trump) https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/15/politics/johnson-ethics-report-gaetz/index.html