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Posted (edited)

Thanks. But it is more than that figure.

mainland China confirmed cases is 6090

death 133.

Edited by fresh
Posted
1 hour ago, fresh said:

Thanks. But it is more than that figure.

mainland China confirmed cases is 6090

death 133.

The snapshot on Stringjunky's post isn't going to update.

Follow the link

I had a look at the numbers.
A log / lin plot looks a lot like exponential growth.

image.png.4ff3aeafa4ad39c8e577e605b72b0af2.png

Posted

The good news is that the incidence rate is still below the seasonal flu, even in Hubei province. But the question is how it is going to develop. Most cases do not seem to be severe.

Posted (edited)
50 minutes ago, CharonY said:

The good news is that the incidence rate is still below the seasonal flu, even in Hubei province. But the question is how it is going to develop. Most cases do not seem to be severe.

What's the assessment on its fatality rate? Is it high for that type?

 

Edited by StringJunky
Posted
2 hours ago, StringJunky said:

What's the assessment on its fatality rate? Is it high for that type?

The overall fatality rate cannot be fully assessed with the data at this time, though as preliminary estimate it tracks around 2-3% which is lower than, e.g. SARS with is caused by a different coronavirus was around 15%, but higher than e.g.  seasonal influenza (around 0.15%). 

I should add that the new coronavirus (2019 -nCoV) also has seemingly lower transmission rate compared to influenza, roughly in line with SARS.

Posted
1 hour ago, CharonY said:

The overall fatality rate cannot be fully assessed with the data at this time, though as preliminary estimate it tracks around 2-3% which is lower than, e.g. SARS with is caused by a different coronavirus was around 15%, but higher than e.g.  seasonal influenza (around 0.15%). 

I should add that the new coronavirus (2019 -nCoV) also has seemingly lower transmission rate compared to influenza, roughly in line with SARS.

Cheers.

Posted (edited)

Some good news...They have a vaccine, but it will take up to two years before it's fit for use. Not sure how good this actually is though.

Question: in the future, will it be possible to develop vaccines and release them immediately whilst still being safe? Maybe using advanced AI or something.

Quote

We have already produced the vaccine, but it will take a long time to test,” Yuen Kwok Yung, chair of infectious diseases at the University of Hong Kong, told the South China Morning Post, revealing that his team had isolated the previously unknown virus from the city’s first imported case.

https://www.vice.com/amp/en_asia/article/y3mw37/scientists-have-already-developed-a-coronavirus-vaccine?utm_source=quora&utm_medium=referral

Edited by Curious layman
Posted
6 hours ago, John Cuthber said:

Which figure?

 

It is said the confirmed cases is more than 150,000, and some experts doubt the virus is from lab. It means it’s origin may be from bio-weapon.

Posted
23 minutes ago, fresh said:

some experts doubt the virus is from lab.

Nobody in their right mind thinks this virus is from a lab.

24 minutes ago, fresh said:

It means it’s origin may be from bio-weapon.

No.

 

You seem to have misunderstood.

This is a a science web page not a conspiracy theory one.

24 minutes ago, fresh said:

It is said the confirmed cases is more than 150,000

By whom is this said?

 

Do you have any credible support for that?

Posted
35 minutes ago, fresh said:

It is said the confirmed cases is more than 150,000, and some experts doubt the virus is from lab. It means it’s origin may be from bio-weapon.

!

Moderator Note

This is a science site, and this is a very serious subject. Do not spread unfounded rumours and conspiracy theories.

 

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