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Harris vs Trump;


MSC

Harris vs Trump.  

9 members have voted

  1. 1. Who will win the US Election this November?

    • Harris
      8
    • Trump
      1

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  • Poll closed on 11/06/24 at 04:59 AM

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There is a lot of gloom over things that could go wrong in the coming years, but I will admit I fail to see how Trump can actually implement his deportation plans, at least at the level he has promised his fear-sodden voters.  It is actually incredibly difficult and expensive to find and round up people, and even more so to ship them back to nations that may well close all ports of entry and refuse to take them back.  Moving, what, 11 million people is expensive.  Putting them all in internment camps while you wait to figure out where to send them, even more expensive.  And then there are all those economically essential labor jobs that those people do, sometimes for wages that native born Americans would find unacceptable.  Point is, like most harebrained vague plans, there is a lot of handwaving and pandering but no practical way to implement it.  Not to get too dark here, but there is a reason that Hitler's regime quickly landed on a different approach than expelling their undesirables from the country.  We'd better hope our Constitution holds up better than the Weimar one did.  

@MSC, real estate is reasonable in places like Saskatchewan, but I can't recommend the winters there.  If I were thinking Canada-ward, I'd probably be looking more at British Columbia.  But you might have to buy land and start out just dragging a prefab barn onto it and putting in utilities, floors, etc.  yourself.  Or just stay here - we can definitely use a few true Scotsmen.  Just don't eat our pets, please!  

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16 minutes ago, TheVat said:

There is a lot of gloom over things that could go wrong in the coming years, but I will admit I fail to see how Trump can actually implement his deportation plans, at least at the level he has promised his fear-sodden voters. 

The deportation was ever a deception. It was built around the non-existing surge of criminal immigrants.

What is likely going to happen is aggressive ICE enforcement as under his previous presidency, more aggressive policing of the borders and similar "virtue signaling" efforts. But it is not a thing he really cares about beyond vague ideological aspects. There will be a number of civil rights issue by entangling law enforcement, border security, immigration and potentially the military.

16 minutes ago, TheVat said:

@MSC, real estate is reasonable in places like Saskatchewan, but I can't recommend the winters there.  If I were thinking Canada-ward, I'd probably be looking more at British Columbia.  But you might have to buy land and start out just dragging a prefab barn onto it and putting in utilities, floors, etc.  yourself.  Or just stay here - we can definitely use a few true Scotsmen.  Just don't eat our pets, please!  

Canada is currently limiting (or re-aligning) immigration. And real estate is very expensive in the more populated areas.

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1 hour ago, CharonY said:

The deportation was ever a deception. It was built around the non-existing surge of criminal immigrants.

What is likely going to happen is aggressive ICE enforcement as under his previous presidency, more aggressive policing of the borders and similar "virtue signaling" efforts.

As you’re suggesting, it’s likely to be less about criminal activities solely among illegal undocumented residents and probably more likely to display as the execution of mass raids and civil rights abuses against “undesirables” by a police state directed and unconstrained by the desires and whims of a small handful of folks with power. Enemies lists getting crossed off etc. 

Edited by iNow
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3 hours ago, CharonY said:

Europe needs to step up, which they likely won't.  Especialy with pro-Russian right wingers waiting.  Also above I forgot to rant about sexism. We are a bunch of dum dums.

That was what we discussed a few times. I feel that appealing to moderates has not been a great strategy. And she might even lose the popular vote. The way folks perceive and feel about things has changed and what we perceive as the norm is gone.

I'm not sure after every vote is counted she will have lost the popular vote but it hardly matters.

She ran a decent campaign, Trump ran his worst and least honest so far, and this is the result.

Not sure what to think never mind say.

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7 minutes ago, MigL said:

I hope the 'checks and balances' are robust enough to last the 4 years.

That is unfortunately the big issue for me. The first term was built laziness and greed and things moved along even against his wishes. For example, they provided support to Puerto Rico after delays, despite he being against it (incredible that folks already seemed to have forgotten that). It was only when there was a real challenge that things fell apart really dramatically during COVID-19 (again, no idea how folks keep forgetting that).

This time around, folks around him realized that they can undermine the checks and balances to their advantage and if they are even moderately competent, they may achieve that.

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39 minutes ago, Night FM said:

Honestly, all of the incendiary rhetoric against Trump himself rather than actual issues and policies likely didn't help the Democratic party in the long run.

Oh, please. Stop with the trolling.

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https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accusation_in_a_mirror

Accusation in a mirror (AiM) (also called mirror politics,[1] mirror propaganda, mirror image propaganda, or a mirror argument) is a technique often used in the context of hate speech incitement, where one falsely attributes one's own motives and/or intentions to one's adversaries.[2][3][4] It has been cited, along with dehumanization, as one of the indirect or cloaked forms of incitement to genocide, which has contributed to the commission of genocide, for example in the Holocaust, the Rwandan genocide, and the Armenian genocide. By invoking collective self-defense, accusation in a mirror is used to justify genocide, similar to self-defense as a defense for individual homicide.[4][5][6]

The Office of the UN Special Adviser on the Prevention of Genocide (OSAPG) defines mirror politics as a "common strategy to create divisions by fabricating events whereby a person accuses others of what he or she does or wants to do", and includes it as a factor in their Analysis Framework on Genocide, when analyzing whether a given situation poses a risk of genocide

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3 hours ago, swansont said:

Oh, please. Stop with the trolling.

I stand by that. My perception is that there was far too much rhetoric directed against Trump himself, such as rhetoric related to his personal life, and not enough which focused on why his actions while in office were flawed.

As an example, I've seen intelligent criticism of the border wall and how it did not live up to what most people expected, but that was lost in much of the rhetoric, such as rhetoric merely trying to associate the border wall proposal with "racism".

3 hours ago, iNow said:

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accusation_in_a_mirror

Accusation in a mirror (AiM) (also called mirror politics,[1] mirror propaganda, mirror image propaganda, or a mirror argument) is a technique often used in the context of hate speech incitement, where one falsely attributes one's own motives and/or intentions to one's adversaries.[2][3][4] It has been cited, along with dehumanization, as one of the indirect or cloaked forms of incitement to genocide, which has contributed to the commission of genocide, for example in the Holocaust, the Rwandan genocide, and the Armenian genocide. By invoking collective self-defense, accusation in a mirror is used to justify genocide, similar to self-defense as a defense for individual homicide.[4][5][6]

The Office of the UN Special Adviser on the Prevention of Genocide (OSAPG) defines mirror politics as a "common strategy to create divisions by fabricating events whereby a person accuses others of what he or she does or wants to do", and includes it as a factor in their Analysis Framework on Genocide, when analyzing whether a given situation poses a risk of genocide

I'm assuming you're saying that Trump did the same thing. That's totally possible, but I haven't perceived the same level of incendiary rhetoric leveled against any particular Democratic candidate, especially that which involves fearmongering about fascism. I recall some extreme rhetoric against Hillary, but it was on the outlier side of things (e.x. Alex Jones). To me, it seems like half of America thinks Trump is a fascist, and that this line of rhetoric has been popular in more mainstream media outlets since 2016.

He could be a fascist. I'm not denying that fascist regimes do come into power, but I don't trust the rhetoric and I'll wait until more measurable actions happen before coming to such a conclusion.

Edited by Night FM
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4 hours ago, Night FM said:

I stand by that. My perception is that there was far too much rhetoric directed against Trump himself, such as rhetoric related to his personal life, and not enough which focused on why his actions while in office were flawed.

As an example, I've seen intelligent criticism of the border wall and how it did not live up to what most people expected, but that was lost in much of the rhetoric, such as rhetoric merely trying to associate the border wall proposal with "racism".

I'm assuming you're saying that Trump did the same thing. That's totally possible, but I haven't perceived the same level of incendiary rhetoric leveled against any particular Democratic candidate, especially that which involves fearmongering about fascism. I recall some extreme rhetoric against Hillary, but it was on the outlier side of things (e.x. Alex Jones). To me, it seems like half of America thinks Trump is a fascist, and that this line of rhetoric has been popular in more mainstream media outlets since 2016.

He could be a fascist. I'm not denying that fascist regimes do come into power, but I don't trust the rhetoric and I'll wait until more measurable actions happen before coming to such a conclusion.

 

Were you asleep during president Trump’s first term in 2017 when he attempted to block all muslims from entering USA, and began ranting to his aides about migrants coming from ‘sh&ithole’ countries’, and demanding to know why America wasn’t prioritising the arrival of blue-eyed blond haired people from Scandinavian countries like Norway ?

Were you under a rock on another planet on January 6th 2021 when Trump incited a violent lynch mob to attack the Capitol in an attempt to hang his own VP, after Mike Pence refused to subvert the constitution and throw out the results of the 2020 presidential election ?

Did you have your fingers firmly in your ears during the recent final Trump rallies this year when he referred to Kamela Harris as a ‘b*tch’ -  or were you perhaps watching another channel when Trump’s rally at the Madison Square Garden NY  on October 27 was being broadcast - appropriately enough on the 85th anniversary of the infamous swastika bedecked  Nazi mass rally organised by the German American Bund at the same venue in 1939 ?

Did you perhaps miss seeing Trump and his allies smirking and clapping along as ‘comedians’ and other surrogates told viciously anti-semitic jokes, made racist comments about Latino-Americans, and referred to Kamala Harris as the ’antichrist’, and characterised her as a “whore “ with ‘pimp handlers’ ?

Just curious…

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I reiterate, the politics of fear won over the politics of reason in this election.

And as evidenced by many recent posts in this thread, it still has its grip on us.

The fear of Trump being elected has been replaced by the fear of what will he do in his second term!

He’s got us!

But, there must be a way out of all of his madness controlling us!

Finally, resistance to change also played a key role in the election.

And nostalgia!

Edited by Luc Turpin
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