Ann_M Posted February 22, 2004 Posted February 22, 2004 hi, how can you tell if a situation follows a binomial distribution, for example, a coin, if a coin is tossed until 5 heads have appeared. then this follows a binmoial distribution as the prob is constant and also its independent. however, if we are considering number of cars passing along, until 7 red cars have gone past, then would this follow a binomial distribution? im confused on recognising a binomail distribution, can some one help me please. thanx.
wolfson Posted February 22, 2004 Posted February 22, 2004 B(n,p)) is characterized by two parameters n, the number of trials p, the probability of success number of ways k successes among n trials can occur C(n,k) = n!/(k!(n-k)!) Example Assume that 25% of fuses are defective, and the fuses in packages of six fuses are independently selected. What is the probability that (exactly) two fuses in a package of six are defective? C(6,2)=6!/(2!4!)=720/(2 × 24) = 15; 15 × .25^2 × .75^4 = .2966. What is the probability that fewer than two are defective? Fewer than two means 0 or 1. P(X=0)=C(6,0) × .25^0 × .75^6 = 1 × 1 × .1780 = .1780; P(X=1)=C(6,1) × .25^1 × .75^5 = 6 × .25 × .2373 = .3560. P(X=0 or 1) = .1780+.3560 = .5340. (APP2003)
JaKiri Posted February 22, 2004 Posted February 22, 2004 Ann_M said in post # :if we are considering number of cars passing along, until 7 red cars have gone past, then would this follow a binomial distribution? im confused on recognising a binomail distribution, can some one help me please. thanx. It depends what you mean by a binomial distribution. Obviously, you can make it into one ('Red cars' or 'Not red cars'), but it's not inherently one.
Ann_M Posted February 24, 2004 Author Posted February 24, 2004 dats understandable, but then how can you tell if a situation is for a negative binomial distribution or for a positive binomial distribution. what im trying to find out is what the relationship is between the two distributions, and some situations that can be related to them.
Dave Posted February 26, 2004 Posted February 26, 2004 The classic example for positive binomial is items (for some reason it's usually light bulbs) that come off of a production line. i.e., the probability of a light bulb being faulty is 0.3 (assume this independent and whatnot). if you have a random batch of 20, what's the probability that exactly 12 of them are not faulty? Call the number of non-faulty light bulbs X => X ~ B(20, 0.7) P(X=12) = nCr(20, 12)*(0.7)^12*(0.3)^8 = whatever. Hope this helps.
Daniel Posted May 4, 2004 Posted May 4, 2004 Binomial. 1. There is probability of success or failure. 2. A number of identical and independent (that is important) trials are being conducted 3. You are trying to find the probability that a certain number of these trials are a success. I think those are the three main points. Not sure about negative binomial, havn't come across it yet.
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now